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CHAPTER 29 Financial Analysis and Planning

839

There are some good general texts on financial statement analysis. See, for example:

G. Foster: Financial Statement Analysis, 2nd ed., Prentice-Hall, Inc., Englewood Cliffs, NJ, 1986.

K. G. Palepu, V. L. Bernard, and P. M. Healy: Business Analysis and Valuation, South-Western College Publishing, Cincinnati, OH, 2nd ed., 2000.

Three classic articles on the application of financial ratios to specific problems are:

W. H. Beaver: “Financial Ratios as Predictors of Failure,” Empirical Research in Accounting: Selected Studies, supplement to Journal of Accounting Research, 1966, pp. 77–111.

W. H. Beaver, P. Kettler, and M. Scholes: “The Association between Market-Determined and Accounting-Determined Risk Measures,” Accounting Review, 45:654–682 (October 1970).

J.O. Horrigan: “The Determination of Long Term Credit Standing with Financial Ratios,”

Empirical Research in Accounting: Selected Studies, supplement to Journal of Accounting Research, 1966, pp. 44–62.

Corporate planning has an extensive literature of its own. Good books and articles include:

G. Donaldson: “Financial Goals and Strategic Consequences,” Harvard Business Review, 63:57–66 (May–June 1985).

G. Donaldson: Strategy for Financial Mobility, Harvard Business School Press, Boston, 1986.

A. C. Hax and N. S. Majluf: The Strategy Concept and Process—A Pragmatic Approach, 2nd ed., Prentice-Hall, Inc., Englewood Cliffs, NJ, 1996.

The links between capital budgeting, strategy, and financial planning are discussed in:

S. C. Myers: “Finance Theory and Financial Strategy,” Interfaces, 14:126–137 (January– February, 1984).

Here are three references on corporate planning models:

W. T. Carleton, C. L. Dick, Jr., and D. H. Downes: “Financial Policy Models: Theory and Practice,” Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 8:691–709 (December 1973).

W. T. Carleton and J. M. McInnes: “Theory, Models and Implementation in Financial Management,” Management Science, 28:957–978 (September 1982).

S.C. Myers and G. A. Pogue: “A Programming Approach to Corporate Financial Management,” Journal of Finance, 29:579–599 (May 1974).

FURTHER READING

1. Table 29.9 gives abbreviated balance sheets and income statements for Weyerhaeuser QUIZ Company. Calculate the following ratios:

a.Debt ratio.

b.Times-interest-earned ratio.

c.Current ratio.

d.Quick ratio.

e.Net profit margin.

f.Days in inventory.

g.Return on equity.

h.Payout ratio.

2.There are no universally accepted definitions of financial ratios, but five of the following ratios make no sense at all. Substitute the correct definitions.

a.Debt–equity ratio (long-term debt value of leases)/(long-term debt value of leases equity)

b.Return on equity (EBIT tax)/average equity

840

PART IX

T A B L E 2 9 . 9

Income statement and balance sheet for Weyerhaeuser Company, 2000 (figures in millions).

Source: Weyerhaeuser Company, 2000 annual report.

Financial Planning and Short-Term Management

 

Income Statement

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net sales

$15,980

 

 

 

 

Cost of goods sold

12,035

 

 

 

 

Other expenses

1,412

 

 

 

Depreciation

 

859

 

 

 

 

Earnings before interest and tax (EBIT)

1,674

 

 

 

Net interest

351

 

 

 

 

Tax

 

483

 

 

 

 

Earnings

$ 840

 

 

 

 

Dividends

263

 

 

 

 

Balance Sheet

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

End of Year

Start of Year

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Cash and short-term securities

115

1,640

Receivables

1,247

1,296

Inventories

1,499

1,329

Other current assets

 

427

278

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total current assets

 

3,288

4,543

Tangible fixed assets

10,427

9,582

Other long-term assets

 

4,480

4,214

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total assets

 

$18,195

$18,339

Short-term debt

733

909

Payables

921

961

Other current liabilities

 

1,050

1,083

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total current liabilities

 

2,704

2,953

Long-term debt and capital leases

5,114

5,100

Other long-term liabilities

3,544

3,113

Common shareholders’ equity

 

6,832

7,173

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total liabilities

 

$18,195

$18,339

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

c.Payout ratio dividend/stock price

d.Profit margin (EBIT tax)/sales

e.Inventory turnover sales/average inventory

f.Current ratio current liabilities/current assets

g.Sales-to-net-working-capital average sales/average net working capital

h.Average collection period sales/(average receivables 365)

i.Quick ratio (current assets inventories)/current liabilities

3.True or false?

a.A company’s debt–equity ratio is always less than 1.

b.The quick ratio is always less than the current ratio.

c.The return on equity is always less than the return on assets.

d.If a project is slow to reach full profitability, straight-line depreciation is likely to produce an overstatement of profits in the early years.

e.A substantial new advertising campaign by a cosmetics company will tend to depress earnings and cause the stock to sell at a low price–earnings multiple.

4.In each of the following cases, explain briefly which of the two companies is likely to be characterized by the higher ratio:

a.Debt–equity ratio: a shipping company or a computer software company.

b.Payout ratio: United Foods Inc. or Computer Graphics Inc.

CHAPTER 29 Financial Analysis and Planning

841

c.Sales-to-assets ratio: an integrated pulp and paper manufacturer or a paper mill.

d.Average collection period: a supermarket chain or a mail-order company.

e.Price–earnings multiple: Basic Sludge Company or Fledgling Electronics.

5.A firm has $30,000 of inventory. If this represents 30 days’ sales, what is the annual cost of goods sold? What is the inventory turnover ratio?

6.Keller Cosmetics maintains a profit margin of 4 percent and a sales-to-assets ratio of 3.

a.What is its return on assets?

b.If its debt–equity ratio is 1.0, its interest payments and taxes are each $10,000, and EBIT is $40,000, what is the return on equity?

7.A firm has a long-term debt–equity ratio of .4. Shareholders’ equity is $1 million. Current assets are $200,000, and the current ratio is 2.0. Long-term assets total $1.5 million. What is the ratio of debt to total long-term capital?

8.Magic Flutes has total receivables of $3,000, which represent 20 days’ sales. Average total assets are $75,000. The firm’s profit margin is 5 percent. Find the firm’s return on assets and sales-to-assets ratio.

9.Consider this simplified balance sheet for Geomorph Trading:

Current assets

100

60

Current liabilities

 

 

 

280

Long-term debt

Long-term assets

500

70

Other liabilities

 

 

 

190

Equity

600600

a.Calculate the ratio of debt to equity.

b.What are Geomorph’s net working capital and total long-term capital? Calculate the ratio of debt to total long-term capital.

10.Airlux Antarctica has current liabilities of $200 million and a crash—sorry—cash ratio of .05. How much cash and marketable securities does it hold?

11.On average, it takes Microlimp’s customers 60 days to pay their bills. If Microlimp has annual sales of $500 million, what is the average value of unpaid bills?

12.Executive Paper’s return on equity is higher than its return on assets. Is this always the case? Explain.

13.True or false?

a.Financial planning should attempt to minimize risk.

b.The primary aim of financial planning is to obtain better forecasts of future cash flows and earnings.

c.Financial planning is necessary because financing and investment decisions interact and should not be made independently.

d.Firms’ planning horizons rarely exceed three years.

e.Financial planning requires accurate forecasting.

f.Financial planning models should include as much detail as possible.

14.Table 29.10 summarizes the 2002 income statement and end-year balance sheet of Drake’s Bowling Alleys. Drake’s financial manager forecasts a 10 percent increase in sales and costs in 2003. The ratio of sales to average assets is expected to remain at .40. Interest is forecasted at 5 percent of debt at start of year.

a.What is the implied level of assets at the end of 2003?

b.If the company pays out 50 percent of net income as dividends, how much cash will Drake need to raise in the capital markets in 2003?

c.If Drake is unwilling to make an equity issue, what will be the debt ratio at the end of 2003?

842

PART IX Financial Planning and Short-Term Management

 

 

 

 

T A B L E

2 9 . 1 0

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Income Statement

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Financial statement for Drake’s

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Sales

 

 

 

$1,000 (40% of average assets)*

Bowling Alleys, 2002 (figures in

 

 

 

Costs

 

 

 

 

750 (75% of sales)

thousands).

 

 

 

 

Interest

 

 

 

 

25 (5% of debt at start of year)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

*Assets at end-2001 were

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Pretax profit

 

 

 

 

225

 

 

$2,400,000.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Tax

 

 

 

 

90

(40% of pretax profit)

Debt at end-2001 was $500,000.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net income

$

135

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Balance Sheet

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Assets

$2,600

 

 

 

Debt

$ 500

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Equity

2,100

 

 

 

 

Total

$2,600

 

 

 

Total

$2,600

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

T A B L E 2 9 . 1 1

 

 

 

Income Statement

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Financial statements for Archimedes

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Sales

 

 

$4,000

 

 

 

 

 

Levers, 2001.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Costs, including interest

 

 

 

3,500

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net income

 

 

$

500

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Balance Sheet, Year-end

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2001

 

2000

 

 

 

 

 

2001

2000

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Assets

$3,200

$2,700

 

 

 

 

Debt

$1,200

$1,033

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Equity

2,000

 

1,667

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total

$3,200

$2,700

 

 

 

 

Total

$3,200

$2,700

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

15.Abbreviated financial statements for Archimedes Levers are shown in Table 29.11. If sales increase by 10 percent in 2002 and all other items, including debt, increase correspondingly, what must be the balancing item? What will be its value?

16.What is the maximum possible growth rate for Archimedes (see question 15) if the payout ratio is set at 50 percent and (a) no external debt or equity is to be issued? (b) the firm maintains a fixed debt ratio but issues no equity?

PRACTICE QUESTIONS

1.Look up the latest financial statements for any company on the Market Insight database (www.mhhe.com/edumarketinsight) and calculate a sources and uses of funds table for the latest year. Don’t be put off by the fact that actual financial statements are more complicated than the simplified ones we showed for Executive Paper.

2.Look up the latest financial statements for any company on the Market Insight database (www.mhhe.com/edumarketinsight) and calculate the following ratios for the latest year:

a.Debt ratio.

b.Times-interest-earned.

c.Current ratio.

d.Quick ratio.

e.Net profit margin.

f.Days in inventory.

CHAPTER 29 Financial Analysis and Planning

843

g.Return on equity.

h.Payout ratio.

3.Select a sample of companies with financial statements on the Market Insight database (www.mhhe.com/edumarketinsight) and compare the days in inventory and the average collection period for receivables. Can you explain these differences?

4.This question reviews some of the difficulties encountered in interpreting accounting numbers.

a.Give four examples of important assets, liabilities, or transactions which may not be shown on the company’s books.

b.How does investment in intangible assets, such as research and development, distort accounting ratios? Give at least two examples.

c.Explain the three ways in which accelerating inflation affects earnings and profitability ratios based on historical-cost accounting.

5.Use financial ratio analysis to compare two companies chosen from the same industry.

6.Discuss alternative measures of financial leverage. Should the market value of equity be used or the book value? Is it better to use the market value of debt, the book value, or the book value discounted at the risk-free interest rate? How should you treat off- balance-sheet obligations such as pension liabilities? How would you treat preferred stock, deferred tax reserves, and minority interest?

7.Suppose that at year-end 1999 Executive Paper had unused lines of credit that would have allowed it to borrow a further $300 million. Suppose also that it used this line of credit to raise short-term loans of $300 million and invested the proceeds in marketable securities. Would the company have appeared to be (a) more or less liquid? (b) more or less highly levered? Calculate the appropriate ratios.

8.How would the following actions affect a firm’s current ratio?

a.Inventory is sold.

b.The firm takes out a bank loan to pay its suppliers.

c.A customer pays its overdue bills.

d.The firm uses cash to purchase additional inventories.

9.Sara Togas sells all its output to Federal Stores. The following table shows selected financial data, in millions, for the two firms:

 

Sales

Profits

Assets

Federal Stores

$100

$10

$50

Sara Togas

20

4

20

Calculate the sales-to-assets ratio, the profit margin, and the return on the two firms. Now assume that the two companies merge. If Federal continues to sell goods worth $100 million, how will the three financial ratios change?

10.United Ratio’s common stock has a dividend yield of 4 percent. Its dividend per share is $2, and it has 10 million shares outstanding. If the market-to-book ratio is 1.5, what is the total book value of the equity?

11.As you can see, someone has spilled ink over some of the entries in the balance sheet and income statement of Transylvania Railroad (Table 29.12). Can you use the following information to work out the missing entries?

Financial leverage: .4.

Times-interest-earned: 8.

Current ratio: 1.4.

Quick ratio: 1.0.

844

PART IX Financial Planning and Short-Term Management

 

 

 

 

T A B L E

2 9 . 1 2

 

 

 

 

 

 

December

December

 

 

 

Balance sheet and income

 

2001

2000

statement of Transylvania Railroad

Balance Sheet

 

 

 

 

(figures in $ millions).

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Cash

■■■

20

 

 

 

Accounts receivable

■■■

34

 

 

 

Inventory

■■■

26

 

 

 

Total current assets

■■■

80

 

 

 

Fixed assets, net

■■■

 

25

 

 

 

Total

■■■

105

 

 

 

Notes payable

30

35

 

 

 

Accounts payable

25

20

 

 

 

Total current liabilities

■■■

55

 

 

 

Long-term debt

■■■

20

 

 

 

Equity

■■■

 

30

 

 

 

Total

115

105

 

 

 

Income Statement

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Sales

■■■

 

 

 

 

 

Cost of goods sold

■■■

 

 

 

 

 

Selling, general, and administrative expenses

10

 

 

 

 

 

Depreciation

20

 

 

 

 

 

EBIT

■■■

 

 

 

 

 

Interest

■■■

 

 

 

 

 

Earnings before tax

■■■

 

 

 

 

 

Tax

■■■

 

 

 

 

 

Earnings available for common stock

■■■

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Cash ratio: .2.

Return on total assets: .18.

Return on equity: .41.

Inventory turnover: 5.0.

Receivables’ collection period: 71.2 days.

12.Here are some data for five companies in the same industry:

 

 

 

 

Company Code

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

A

 

B

 

C

D

 

 

E

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net income (millions)

$ 10

$

.5

$

6.67

$

1

$

6.67

Total book assets (millions)

$300

$30.0

$120.00

$50

$120.00

Shares outstanding (millions)

3

 

4

 

2

 

5

 

10

Share price

$100

$

5

$

50

$

8

$

10

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

You have been asked to calculate a measure of the industry price–earnings ratio. Discuss the possible ways that you might calculate such a measure. Does changing the method of calculation make a significant difference to the end result?

13.Describe some of the ways that the choice of accounting technique can temporarily depress or inflate earnings.

CHAPTER 29 Financial Analysis and Planning

845

14.How would rapid inflation affect the accuracy and relevance of a manufacturing company’s balance sheet and income statement? Does your answer depend on how much debt the company has issued?

15.In 1970 United Airlines bought four new jumbos for $21.8 million each. These planes

were written down straight-line over 16 years to a residual value of $0.2 million each. However, they could have been sold in 1986 for about $20 million each.22 How would the company’s financial ratios have changed if it had used a depreciation schedule that more nearly reflected the actual decline in aircraft values?

16.The British food company Ranks Hovis McDougall (RHM) believed that some of its most valuable assets were its brand names. Yet these assets are not usually shown on the balance sheet. In 1988 RHM changed its accounting policy to include the value of brand names and thereby added £678 million (nearly $1.2 billion) to the balance sheet. Do you think that this change would facilitate comparisons between firms?

17.Suppose you wish to use financial ratios to estimate the risk of a company’s stock. Which of those that we have described in this chapter are likely to be helpful? Can you think of other accounting measures of risk?

18.Look up some firms that have been in trouble. Plot the changes over the preceding years in the principal financial ratios. Are there any patterns?

19.List the major elements of a completed financial plan.

20.“There is no finance in financial planning models.” Explain.

21.What are the dangers and disadvantages of using a financial model? Discuss.

22.Should a financial plan be considered an unbiased forecast of future cash flows, earnings, and other financial variables? Why or why not?

23.Our model of Executive Paper is an example of a top-down planning model. Some firms use a bottom-up financial planning model, which incorporates forecasts of revenues and costs for particular products, advertising plans, major investment projects, and so on. What sort of firms would you expect to use each type, and what would they use them for?

24.Corporate financial plans are often used as a basis for judging subsequent performance. What do you think can be learned from such comparisons? What problems are likely to arise, and how might you cope with these problems?

25.What problems are likely to be encountered in keeping the financial plan up-to-date?

26.The balancing item in the Executive Paper model is borrowing. What is meant by balancing item? How would the model change if dividends were made the balancing item instead? In that case how would you suggest that planned borrowing be determined?

27.Construct a new model for Executive Paper based on your answer to question 26. Does your model generate a feasible financial plan for 2000? (Hint: If it doesn’t, you may have to allow the firm to issue stock.)

28.Executive Paper’s financial manager believed that revenues in 2000 would rise by as much as 50 percent or by as little as 10 percent. Recalculate the pro forma financial statements under these two assumptions. How does the rate of growth in revenues affect the firm’s borrowing requirement?

22See M. D. Staunton, Pricing of Airline Assets and Their Valuation by Securities Markets, unpublished PhD dissertation, London Business School, 1992.

846

PART IX Financial Planning and Short-Term Management

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

T A B L E

2 9 . 1 3

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Income Statement

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Financial statements for Executive Cheese

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Revenue

$1,785

 

 

 

 

Company, 2001 (figures in thousands).

 

 

 

 

Fixed costs

 

 

53

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Variable costs (80% of revenue)

 

 

1,428

 

 

 

 

 

Depreciation

 

 

80

 

 

 

 

 

 

Interest (at 11.8%)

 

 

24

 

 

 

 

 

 

Taxes (at 40%)

 

 

80

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net income

$

120

 

 

 

 

 

 

Sources and Uses of Funds

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Sources:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Operating cash flow

$

200

 

 

 

 

 

Borrowing

 

 

36

 

 

 

 

 

 

Stock issues

 

 

104

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total sources

$

340

 

 

 

 

 

 

Uses:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Increase in net working capital

$

60

 

 

 

 

 

Investment

 

 

200

 

 

 

 

 

 

Dividends

 

 

80

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total uses

$

340

 

 

 

 

 

 

Balance Sheet, Year-end

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2001

 

 

2000

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Assets:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net working capital

$

400

 

$

340

 

 

Fixed assets

 

 

800

 

 

680

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total assets

 

$1,200

 

$1,020

 

 

Liabilities:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Debt

$

240

 

$

204

 

 

Book equity

 

 

960

 

 

816

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total liabilities

 

$1,200

 

$1,020

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

29.a. Use the Executive Paper model (Tables 29.6–29.8) to produce pro forma income statements, balance sheets, and sources and uses of funds statements for 2000 and 2001. Assume business as usual except that sales and costs were planned to expand by 30 percent per year, as were fixed assets and net working capital. The interest rate was forecasted to remain at 10 percent and stock issues were ruled out. Executive Paper also stuck to its 60 percent dividend payout ratio.

b.What are the firm’s debt ratio and interest coverage under this plan?

c.Can the company continue to finance expansion by borrowing?

30.Table 29.13 shows the 2001 financial statements for the Executive Cheese Company. Annual depreciation is 10 percent of fixed assets at the beginning of the year, plus 10 percent of new investment. The company plans to invest a further $200 per year in fixed assets for the next five years and forecasts that the ratio of revenues to total assets at the start of each year will remain at 1.75. Fixed costs are expected to remain at $53, and variable costs, at 80 percent of revenue. The company’s policy is to pay out two-thirds of net income as dividends and to maintain a book debt ratio of 20 percent.

 

 

 

CHAPTER 29 Financial Analysis and Planning

847

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

T A B L E 2 9 . 1 4

 

Income Statement

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Financial statements for Dynastatics

 

Revenue

 

 

$1,800

 

 

 

 

 

Corporation 2002 (figures in thousands).

 

Fixed costs

 

 

 

 

56

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Variable costs (80% of revenue)

 

 

1,440

 

 

Depreciation

 

 

 

 

80

 

 

 

Interest (8% of beginning-of-year debt)

 

 

 

 

24

 

 

Taxable income

 

 

 

 

200

 

 

 

Taxes (at 40%)

 

 

 

 

80

 

 

 

Net income

 

 

$

120

 

 

 

Dividends

 

$80

 

 

 

 

 

 

Retained earnings

 

$40

 

 

 

 

 

 

Balance Sheet, Year-end

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2002

 

 

2001

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Assets:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net working capital

$

400

$

400

 

 

 

Fixed assets

 

800

 

 

800

 

 

 

Total assets

$1,200

$1,200

 

 

Liabilities and shareholders’ equity:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Debt

$

300

$

300

 

 

 

Equity

 

900

 

 

900

 

 

 

Total liabilities and shareholders’ equity

$1,200

$1,200

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Income Statement

 

Sales

 

 

 

$950

 

 

 

 

 

Costs

 

 

 

250

 

 

 

 

 

EBIT

 

 

 

700

 

 

 

 

 

Taxes

 

 

 

200

 

 

 

 

 

Net income

 

 

$500

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Balance Sheet, Year-end

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2001

 

2002

 

 

2001

2002

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Assets

$2,700

$3,000

 

Debt

$ 900

$1,000

 

 

 

 

 

 

Equity

 

1,800

 

2,000

 

Total

$2,700

$3,000

 

Total

$2,700

$3,000

 

T A B L E 2 9 . 1 5

Financial statements for Eagle Sport Supply, 2002.

a.Construct a model for Executive Cheese like the one in Tables 29.6–29.8.

b.Use your model to produce a set of financial statements for 2002.

31.Table 29.14 contains financial statements for Dynastatics Corporation. Although the company has not been growing, it now plans to expand and will increase net fixed assets (that is, assets net of depreciation) by $200 per year for the next five years. It forecasts that the ratio of revenues to total assets will remain fixed at 1.5. Annual

848

PART IX Financial Planning and Short-Term Management

depreciation is 10 percent of fixed assets at the start of the year. Fixed costs are expected to remain at $56, and variable costs, at 80 percent of revenue. The company’s policy is to pay out two-thirds of net income as dividends and to maintain a book debt ratio of 25 percent of total capital.

a.Produce a set of financial statements for 2007. Assume that net working capital will equal 50 percent of fixed assets.

b.Now assume that the balancing item is debt and that no equity is to be issued. Prepare a completed pro forma balance sheet for 2007. What is the projected debt ratio for 2003?

32.The financial statements of Eagle Sport Supply are shown in Table 29.15. For simplicity, “Costs” include interest. Assume that Eagle’s assets are proportional to its sales.

a.Find Eagle’s required external funds if it maintains a dividend payout ratio of 60 percent and plans a growth rate of 15 percent in 2003.

b.If Eagle chooses not to issue new shares of stock, what variable must be the balancing item? What will its value be?

c.Now suppose that the firm plans instead to increase long-term debt only to $1,100 and does not wish to issue any new shares of stock. Why must the dividend payment now be the balancing item? What will its value be?

33.a. What is the internal growth rate of Eagle Sports (see problem 32) if the dividend payout ratio is fixed at 60 percent and the equity-to-asset ratio is fixed at 2/3?

b.What is the sustainable growth rate?

34.Bio-Plasma Corp. is growing at 30 percent per year. It is all-equity-financed and has total assets of $1 million. Its return on equity is 20 percent. Its plowback ratio is 40 percent.

a.What is the internal growth rate?

b.What is the firm’s need for external financing this year?

c.By how much would the firm increase its internal growth rate if it reduced its payout rate to zero?

d.By how much would such a move reduce the need for external financing? What do you conclude about the relationship between dividend policy and requirements for external financing?

CHALLENGE QUESTIONS

1.Take another look at Geomorph Trading’s balance sheet in quiz question 9, and consider the following additional information:

Current Assets

Current Liabilities

Other Liabilities

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Cash

15

Payables

35

Deferred tax

32

Inventories

35

Taxes due

10

Unfunded pensions

22

Receivables

 

50

Bank loan

15

R&R reserve

16

 

100

 

60

 

70

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

The “R&R reserve” covers the future costs of removal of an oil pipeline and environmental restoration of the pipeline route.

There are many ways to calculate a debt ratio for Geomorph. Suppose you are evaluating the safety of Geomorph’s debt and want a debt ratio for comparison with the ratios of other companies in the same industry. Would you calculate the ratio in terms of

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