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CHAPTER 24 Valuing Debt

695

d.In each of the following sentences choose the correct term from within the parentheses:

“The (yield-to-maturity/spot-rate) formula discounts all cash flows from one bond at the same rate even though they occur at different points in time.”

“The (yield-to-maturity/spot-rate) formula discounts all cash flows received at the same point in time at the same rate even though the cash flows may come from different bonds.”

5.Construct some simple examples to illustrate your answers to the following:

a.If interest rates rise, do bond prices rise or fall?

b.If the bond yield is greater than the coupon, is the price of the bond greater or less than 100?

c.If the price of a bond exceeds 100, is the yield greater or less than the coupon?

d.Do high-coupon bonds sell at higher or lower prices than low-coupon bonds?

e.If interest rates change, does the price of high-coupon bonds change proportionately more than that of low-coupon bonds?

6.The following table shows the prices of a sample of strips of UK gilts (government bonds) in December 1998. Each strip makes a single payment of £100 at maturity.

Maturity

Price (£)

 

 

December 2000

90.826

December 2005

73.565

December 2006

70.201

December 2007

67.787

December 2028

29.334

 

 

a.Calculate the annually compounded, spot interest rate for each year.

b.Is the term structure upwardor downward-sloping?

c.Would you expect the yield on a coupon bond maturing in December 2028 to be higher or lower than the yield on the 2028 strip?

d.Calculate the annually compounded, one-year forward rate of interest for December 2005. Now do the same for December 2006.

7.a. An 8 percent, five-year bond yields 6 percent. If the yield remains unchanged, what will be its price one year hence? Assume annual coupon payments.

b.What is the total return to an investor who held the bond over this year?

c.What can you deduce about the relationship between the bond return over a particular period and the yields to maturity at the start and end of that period?

8.True or false? Explain.

a.Longer-maturity bonds necessarily have longer durations.

b.The longer a bond’s duration, the lower its volatility.

c.Other things equal, the lower the bond coupon, the higher its volatility.

d.If interest rates rise, bond durations rise also.

9.Calculate the durations and volatilities of securities A, B, and C. Their cash flows are shown below. The interest rate is 8 percent.

 

Period 1

Period 2

Period 3

 

 

 

 

A

40

40

40

B

20

20

120

C

10

10

110

 

 

 

 

10.a. Suppose that the one-year spot rate of interest at time 0 is 1 percent and the two-year spot rate is 3 percent. What is the forward rate of interest for year 2?

696PART VII Debt Financing

b.What does the expectations theory of term structure say about the relationship between the forward rate and the one-year spot rate at time 1?

c.Over a very long period of time, the term structure in the United States has been on average upward-sloping. Is this evidence for or against the expectations theory?

d.What does the liquidity-preference theory say about the relationship between the forward rate and the one-year spot rate at time 1?

e.If the liquidity-preference theory is a good approximation and you have to meet long-term liabilities (college tuition for your children, for example), is it safer to invest in longor short-term bonds? Assume inflation is predictable.

f.If inflation is very uncertain and you have to meet long-term real liabilities, is it safer to invest in longor short-term bonds?

11.a. State the four Moody’s ratings that are generally known as “investment-grade” ratings.

b.Other things equal, would you expect the yield to maturity on a corporate bond to increase or decrease with

i.The company’s business risk?

ii.The expected rate of inflation?

iii.The risk-free rate of interest?

iv.The degree of leverage?

12.The difference between the price of a government bond and a simple corporate bond is equal to the value of an option. What is this option and what is its exercise price?

13.How in principle would you calculate the value of a government loan guarantee?

PRACTICE QUESTIONS

1.Why might Fisher’s theory about inflation and interest rates not be true?

2.Under what conditions can the expected real interest rate be negative?

3.A 6 percent six-year bond yields 12 percent and a 10 percent six-year bond yields 8 percent. Calculate the six-year spot rate. (Assume annual coupon payments.)

4.Is the yield on high-coupon bonds more likely to be higher than that on low-coupon bonds when the term structure is upward-sloping or when it is downward-sloping?

5.The one-year spot rate is r1 6 percent, and the forward rate for a one-year loan ma-

turing in year 2 is f2 6.4 percent. Similarly, f3 7.1 percent, f4 7.3 percent, and f5 8.2 percent. What are the spot rates r2, r3, r4, and r5? If the expectations hypothesis holds, what can you say about expected future interest rates?

6.Suppose your company will receive $100 million at t 4 but must make a $107 million payment at t 5. Assume the spot and forward rates from question 5. Show how the company can lock in the interest rate at which it will invest at t 4. Will the $100 million, invested at this locked-in rate, be sufficient to cover the $107 million liability?

7.Use the rates from question 5 one more time. Consider the following bonds, each with a five-year maturity. Calculate the yield to maturity for each. Which is the better investment (or are they equally attractive)? Each has $1,000 face value and pays coupons annually.

Coupon

Price

592.07%

7100.31

12 120.92

CHAPTER 24 Valuing Debt

697

8. You have estimated spot rates as follows:

Year

Spot Rate

1r1 5.00%

2r2 5.40

3r3 5.70

4r4 5.90

5r5 6.00

a.What are the discount factors for each date (that is, the present value of $1 paid in year t)?

b.What are the forward rates for each period?

c.Calculate the PV of the following Treasury notes:

i.5 percent, two-year note.

ii.5 percent, five-year note.

iii.10 percent, five-year note.

d.Explain intuitively why the yield to maturity on the 10 percent bond is less than that on the 5 percent bond.

e.What should be the yield to maturity on a five-year zero-coupon bond?

f.Show that the correct yield to maturity on a five-year annuity is 5.75 percent.

g.Explain intuitively why the yield on the five-year Treasury notes described in part

(c)must lie between the yield on a five-year zero-coupon bond and a five-year annuity.

9.Look at the spot interest rates shown in question 8. Suppose that someone told you that the six-year spot interest rate was 4.80 percent. Why would you not believe him? How could you make money if he was right? What is the minimum sensible value for the sixyear spot rate?

10.Look again at the spot interest rates shown in question 8. What can you deduce about the one-year spot interest rate in four years if

a.The expectations theory of term structure is right?

b.The liquidity-preference theory of term structure is right?

c.The term structure contains an inflation uncertainty premium?

11.Look up prices of 10 U.S. Treasury bonds with different coupons and different maturities. Calculate how their prices would change if their yields to maturity increased by one percentage point. Are longor short-term bonds most affected by the change in yields? Are highor low-coupon bonds most affected?

12.Assume the term structure of interest rates is upward-sloping. How would you respond to the following comment? “The present term structure of interest rates makes short-term debt more attractive to corporate treasurers. Firms should avoid new longterm debt issues.”

13.In Section 24.3 we stated that in 2001 the duration of the 4 5/8s of 2006 was 4.36 years. Construct a table like Table 24.2 to show that this is so.

14.The formula for the duration of a perpetual bond which makes an equal payment each year in perpetuity is (1 yield)/yield. If bonds yield 5 percent, which has the longer du- ration—a perpetual bond or a 15-year zero-coupon bond? What if the yield is 10 percent?

15.You have just been fired as CEO. As consolation the board of directors gives you a fiveyear consulting contract at $150,000 per year. What is the duration of this contract if your personal borrowing rate is 9 percent? Use duration to calculate the change in the contract’s present value for a .5 percent increase in your borrowing rate.

16.Look at the example in Section 24.4 of the Treasury bill and the mediumand long-term bonds. Now assume that the price of the medium-term bond can either fall by $10.75 or

698

PART VII Debt Financing

rise by $14.0. What can you say now about the relationship between the value of the three bonds?

17.Explain carefully what factors determine the yield on corporate bonds.

18.Companies sometimes issue floating-rate bonds. In this case the interest rate might be set at (say) 1 percent above the Treasury bill rate. Would you expect the price of a company’s floating-rate bonds to vary? If so, why?

19.Company A has issued a single zero-coupon bond maturing in 10 years. Company B has issued a coupon bond maturing in 10 years. Explain why it is more complicated to value B’s debt than A’s.

20.Company X has borrowed $150 maturing this year and $50 maturing in 10 years. Company Y has borrowed $200 maturing in five years. In both cases asset value is $140. Why might X not default while Y does?

CHALLENGE QUESTIONS

1.It has been suggested that the Fisher theory is a tautology. If the real rate of interest is defined as the difference between the nominal rate and the expected inflation rate, then the nominal rate must equal the real rate plus the expected inflation rate. In what sense is Fisher’s theory not a tautology?

2.Find the arbitrage opportunity (opportunities?). Assume for simplicity that coupons are paid annually. In each case the face value of the bond is $1,000.

Bond

Maturity (years)

Coupon ($)

Price ($)

 

 

 

 

A

3

zero

751.30

B

4

50

842.30

C

4

120

1,065.28

D

4

100

980.57

E

3

140

1,120.12

F

3

70

1,001.62

G

2

zero

834.00

 

 

 

 

3.The duration of a bond which makes an equal payment each year in perpetuity is (1 yield)/yield. Prove it.

4.What is the duration of a common stock whose dividends are expected to grow at a constant rate in perpetuity?

5.a. What spot and forward rates are embedded in the following Treasury bonds? The price of one-year (zero-coupon) Treasury bills is 93.46 percent. Assume for simplicity that bonds make only annual payments. Hint: Can you devise a mixture of long and short positions in these bonds that gives a cash payoff only in year 2? In year 3?

Coupon (%)

Maturity (years)

Price (%)

4

2

94.92

8

3

103.64

b.A three-year bond with a 4 percent coupon is selling at 95.00 percent. Is there a profit opportunity here? If so, how would you take advantage of it?

6.Look back at our example in Section 24.4 of the short-, medium-, and long-term bonds. Remember that we said that the prices must stand in a particular relationship or there would be an arbitrage opportunity. This means that we can take advantage of the risk-

CHAPTER 24 Valuing Debt

699

neutral trick that we used to value options. Pretend that investors are risk-neutral. Now answer the following questions:

a.Suppose that the price of the short bond is 98 and the price of the medium is 83. What is the price of the long bond?

b.What are the possible future prices of these three bonds at the end of three months if rates rise and if they fall?

c.What would be the expected return over the three months on each bond?

d.What is the probability of an interest rate rise?

e.Show that the expected return on each bond is equal.

7.Look up prices of 10 corporate bonds with different coupons and maturities. Be sure to include some low-rated bonds on your list. Now estimate what these bonds would sell for if the government had guaranteed them. Calculate the value of the guarantee for each bond. Can you explain the difference between the 10 guarantee values?

8.Bond rating services usually charge corporations for rating their bonds.

a.Why do they do this, rather than charge those investors who use the information?

b.Why will a company pay to have its bonds rated even when it knows the service is likely to assign a below-average rating?

c.A few companies are not willing to pay for their bonds to be rated. What can investors deduce about the quality of these bonds?

9.Look back to the first Backwoods Chemical example at the start of Section 24.5. Suppose that the firm’s book balance sheet is

Backwoods Chemical Company (Book Values)

Net working capital

$

400

 

 

$1,000

Debt

Net fixed assets

 

1,600

 

 

 

1,000

Equity (net worth)

Total assets

$2,000

 

 

$2,000

Total value

 

The debt has a one-year maturity and a promised interest rate of 9 percent. Thus, the promised payment to Backwoods’s creditors is $1,090. The market value of the assets is $1,200, and the standard deviation of asset value is 45 percent per year. The risk-free interest rate is 9 percent. Calculate the value of Backwoods debt and equity.

10.Refer again to question 9. Suppose that the continuously compounded return on Backwoods’s assets over the next year is normally distributed with a mean of 10 percent. What is the probability that Backwoods will default?

C H A P T E R T W E N T Y - F I V E

T H E M A N Y

DIFFERENT KINDS

O F D E B T

700

IN CHAPTERS 17 and 18 we discussed how much a company should borrow. But companies also need to think about what type of debt to issue. They must decide whether to issue shortor long-term debt, whether to issue straight bonds or convertible bonds, whether to issue in the United States or in the international debt market, and whether to sell the debt publicly or place it privately with a few large investors.

As a financial manager, you need to choose the type of debt that makes sense for your company. For example, foreign currency debt may be best suited for firms with a substantial overseas business. Short-term debt is generally used when the firm has only a temporary need for funds.1 Sometimes competition between lenders opens a window of opportunity in a particular sector of the debt market. The effect may be only a few basis-points reduction in yield, but on a large issue that can translate into savings of several million dollars. Remember the saying, “A million dollars here and a million there—pretty soon it begins to add up to real money.”2

Our focus in this chapter is on straight long-term debt.3 We begin our discussion by looking at the different types of bonds. We examine the differences between senior and junior bonds and between secured and unsecured bonds. Then we describe how bonds may be repaid by means of a sinking fund and how the borrower or the lender may have an option for early repayment. We also look at some of the restrictive provisions that deter the company from taking actions that would damage the bonds’ value. We not only describe the different features of corporate debt but also try to explain why sinking funds, repayment options, and the like exist. They are not simply matters of custom; there are generally good economic reasons for their use.

Debt may be sold to the public or placed privately with large financial institutions. Because privately placed bonds are broadly similar to public issues, we will not discuss them at length. However, we will discuss another form of private debt known as project finance. This is the glamorous part of the debt market. The words project finance conjure up images of multi-million-dollar loans to finance huge ventures in exotic parts of the world. You’ll find there’s something to the popular image, but it’s not the whole story.

Finally, we look at a few unusual bonds and consider the reasons for innovation in the debt markets. If a company cannot service its debt, it will need to come to some arrangement with its creditors or file for bankruptcy. In the appendix to this chapter we explain the procedures involved in such cases. We will also consider the efficiency of the bankruptcy rules in the United States and look at

how some European countries handle the problem.

25 . 1 DOMESTIC BONDS AND INTERNATIONAL BONDS

A firm can issue a bond either in its home country or in another country. Of course, any firm that raises money abroad is subject to the rules of the country in which it does so. For example, any issue in the United States of publicly traded bonds needs to be registered with the SEC. Since the cost of registration can be particularly large for foreign firms, these firms often avoid registration by complying with the SEC’s

1For example, Stohs and Mauer show that firms with a preponderance of short-term assets tend to issue short-term debt. See M. H. Stohs and D. C. Mauer, “The Determinants of Corporate Debt Maturity Structure,” Journal of Business 69 (July 1996), pp. 279–312.

2The remark was made by the late Senator Everett Dirksen. However, he was talking billions.

3Short-term debt is discussed in Chapter 30.

701

702

PART VII Debt Financing

Rule 144A for bond issues in the United States. Rule 144A bonds can be bought and sold only by large financial institutions.4

Bonds that are sold to local investors in another country’s bond market are known as foreign bonds. The United States is by far the largest market for foreign bonds, but Japan and Switzerland are also important. These bonds have a variety of nicknames: A bond sold publicly by a foreign company in the United States is known as a yankee bond; a bond sold by a foreign firm in Japan is a samurai.

There is also a large international market for long-term bonds. These international bond issues are sold throughout the world by syndicates of underwriters, mainly located in London. They include the London branches of large U.S., European, and Japanese banks and security dealers. International issues are usually made in one of the major currencies. The U.S. dollar has been the most popular choice, but a high proportion of international bond issues are made in the euro, the currency of the European Monetary Union.

The international bond market arose during the 1960s because the U.S. government imposed an interest-equalization tax on the purchase of foreign securities and discouraged American corporations from exporting capital. Therefore both European and American multinationals were forced to tap an international market for capital.5 This market came to be known as the eurobond market, but be careful not to confuse a eurobond (which may be in any currency) with a bond denominated in euros.

The interest-equalization tax was removed in 1974, and there are no longer any controls on capital exports from the United States. Since U.S. firms can now choose whether to borrow in New York or London, the interest rates in the two markets are usually similar. However, the international bond market is not directly subject to regulation by the U.S. authorities, and therefore the financial manager needs to be alert to small differences in the cost of borrowing in one market rather than another.

25 . 2 THE BOND CONTRACT

To give you some feel for the bond contract (and for some of the language in which it is couched), we have summarized in Table 25.1 the terms of an issue of 30-year bonds by Ralston Purina Company. We will look at each of the principal items in turn.

Indenture, or Trust Deed

The Ralston Purina offering was a public issue of bonds, which was registered with the SEC and listed on the New York Stock Exchange. In the case of a public issue, the bond agreement is in the form of an indenture, or trust deed, between the borrower and a trust company.6 Continental Bank, which is the trust company for the Ralston

4We described Rule 144A in Section 15.5.

5Also, until 1984 the United States imposed a withholding tax on interest payments to foreign investors. Investors could avoid this tax by buying an international bond issued in London rather than a similar bond issued in New York.

6In the case of international bond issues, there is a fiscal agent who carries out somewhat similar functions to a bond trustee.

 

 

CHAPTER 25 The Many Different Kinds of Debt

703

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Listed

New York Stock Exchange

 

 

 

 

 

Trustee

Continental Bank, Chicago

 

 

 

 

 

Rights on default

The trustee or 25% of the debentures outstanding may declare interest due

 

 

and payable.

 

 

 

 

 

Indenture modification

Indenture may not be modified except as provided with the consent of two-

 

 

thirds of the debentures outstanding.

 

 

 

 

Registered

Fully registered

 

 

 

 

 

Denomination

$1,000

 

 

 

 

 

 

To be issued

$86.4 million

 

 

 

 

 

 

Issue date

June 4, 1986

 

 

 

 

 

 

Offered

Issued at a price of 97.60% plus accrued interest (proceeds to Company

 

 

96.725%) through First Boston Corporation, Goldman Sachs and Company,

 

 

Shearson Lehman Brothers, Stifel Nicolaus and Company, and associates.

 

Interest

At a rate of 912% per annum, payable June 1 and December 1 to holders

 

 

registered on May 15 and November 15.

 

 

 

 

Security

Not secured. Company will not permit to have any lien on its property or

 

 

assets without equally and ratably securing the debt securities.

 

 

Sale and lease-back

Company will not enter into any sale and lease-back transaction unless the

 

 

Company within 120 days after the transfer of title to such principal property

 

 

applies to the redemption of the debt securities at the then-applicable

 

 

option redemption price an amount equal to the net proceeds received by

 

 

the Company upon such sale.

 

 

 

 

Maturity

June 1, 2016

 

 

 

 

 

 

Sinking fund

Annually between June 2, 1996, and June 2, 2015, sufficient to redeem not less

 

 

than $13.5 million principal amount, plus similar optional payments. Sinking

 

 

fund is designed to redeem 90% of the debentures prior to maturity.

 

 

Callable

At whole or in part at any time at the option of the Company with at least 30,

 

 

but not more than 60, days’ notice on each May 31 as follows:

 

 

 

1989

106.390

1990

106.035

1991

105.680

 

 

1992

105.325

1993

104.970

1994

104.615

 

 

1995

104.260

1996

103.905

1997

103.550

 

 

1998

103.195

1999

102.840

2000

102.485

 

 

2001

102.130

2002

101.775

2003

101.420

 

 

2004

101.065

2005

100.710

2006

100.355

 

 

and thereafter at 100 plus accrued interest; provided, however, that prior to

 

 

June 1, 1996, the Company may not redeem the bonds from, or in

 

 

 

anticipation of, moneys borrowed having an effective interest cost of less

 

 

than 9.748%.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

T A B L E 2 5 . 1

Summary of terms of 912 percent sinking fund debenture 2016 issued by Ralston Purina Company.

Purina bond, represents the bondholders. It must see that the terms of the indenture are observed and look after the bondholders in the event of default. A copy of the bond indenture is included in the registration statement. It is a turgid legal document.7 Its main provisions are summarized in the prospectus to the issue.

7For example, the indenture for one J.C. Penney bond stated: “In any case where several matters are required to be certified by, or covered by an opinion of, any specified Person, it is not necessary that all such matters be certified by, or covered by the opinion of, only one such Person, or that they be certified or covered by only one document, but one such Person may certify or give an opinion with respect to some matters and one or more such other Persons as to other matters, and any such Person may certify or give an opinion as to such matters in one or several documents.” Try saying that three times fast.

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PART VII Debt Financing

Moving down Table 25.1, you will see that the Ralston Purina bonds are registered. This means that the company’s registrar records the ownership of each bond and the company pays the interest and the final principal amount directly to each owner.8

Almost all bonds issued in the United States are issued in registered form, but in many countries bonds may be issued in bearer form. In this case, the certificate constitutes the primary evidence of ownership so the bondholder must send in coupons to claim interest and must send the certificate itself to claim the final repayment of principal. International bonds almost invariably allow the owner to hold them in bearer form. However, since the ownership of such bonds cannot be traced, the IRS has tried to deter U.S. residents from holding them.9

The Bond Terms

Like most dollar bonds, the Ralston Purina bonds have a face value of $1,000. Notice, however, that the bond price is shown as a percentage of face value. Also, the price is stated net of accrued interest. This means that the bond buyer must pay not only the quoted price but also the amount of any future interest that may have accrued. For example, an investor who bought bonds for delivery on (say) June 11, 1986, would be receiving them 10 days into the first interest period. Therefore, accrued interest would be 10/360 9.5 .26 percent, and the investor would pay a price of 97.60 plus .26 percent of accrued interest.10

The Ralston Purina bonds were offered to the public at a price of 97.60 percent, but the company received only 96.725 percent. The difference represents the underwriters’ spread. Of the $86.4 million raised, about $85.6 million went to the company and $.8 million went to the underwriters.

Since the bonds were issued at a price of 97.60 percent, investors who hold the bonds to maturity receive a capital gain over the 30 years of 2.40 percent.11 However, the bulk of their return is provided by the regular interest payment. The annual interest or coupon payment on each bond is 9.50 percent of $1,000, or $95. This interest is payable semiannually, so every six months investors receive interest of 95/2 $47.50. Most U.S. bonds pay interest semiannually, but a comparable international bond would generally pay interest annually.12

The regular interest payment on a bond is a hurdle that the company must keep jumping. If the company ever fails to pay the interest, lenders can demand their

8Often, investors do not physically hold the security; instead, their ownership is represented by a book entry. The “book” is in practice a computer.

9U.S. residents cannot generally deduct capital losses on bearer bonds. Also, payments on such bonds cannot be made to a bank account in the United States.

10In the U.S. corporate bond market accrued interest is calculated on the assumption that a year is composed of twelve 30-day months; in some other markets (such as the U.S. Treasury bond market) calculations recognize the actual number of days in each calendar month.

11This gain is not taxed as income as long as it amounts to less than .25 percent a year.

12If a bond pays interest semiannually, investors usually calculate a semiannually compounded yield to maturity on the bond. In other words, the yield is quoted as twice the six-month yield. Because international bonds pay interest annually, it is conventional to quote their yields to maturity on an annually compounded basis. Remember this when comparing yields.

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