Добавил:
Опубликованный материал нарушает ваши авторские права? Сообщите нам.
Вуз: Предмет: Файл:

книги / 961

.pdf
Скачиваний:
2
Добавлен:
07.06.2023
Размер:
32.89 Mб
Скачать

7

 

 

7.5. ,

2013~2060

 

 

 

 

2013~2015 2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

2055

2060

OECD

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

4.0

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

3.7

 

 

13.9

13.9

14.1

14.4

14.7

14.7

14.7

14.6

14.6

14.4

 

11.8

11.8

 

12.3

 

13.0

 

12.9

 

13.0

 

5.5

 

 

 

 

 

 

6.9

 

 

 

5.1

 

 

 

 

 

 

4.2

 

 

 

9.0

9.0

9.1

9.0

8.8

9.0

9.3

9.6

9.8

9.7

 

10.3

8.7

8.4

8.3

8.2

8.0

7.7

7.5

7.3

7.2

 

7.6

7.6

7.3

7.1

7.0

6.9

6.8

6.7

6.6

6.3

 

12.9

14.2

14.9

15.0

14.4

13.6

13.0

12.8

12.8

12.9

 

14.9

14.6

14.9

14.7

14.2

13.8

13.3

12.8

12.3

12.1

 

10.0

10.3

10.9

11.6

12.1

12.2

12.3

12.5

12.6

12.7

 

16.2

15.5

15.0

14.4

14.1

14.1

14.1

14.4

14.2

14.3

 

11.5

9.8

9.3

8.9

9.1

9.6

10.4

10.7

11.0

11.4

 

3.3

 

 

 

 

 

 

3.5

 

 

 

7.4

8.0

8.7

9.1

9.6

10.0

10.2

10.0

9.3

8.4

 

5.3

 

 

 

 

 

 

6.2

 

 

 

15.7

15.3

15.5

15.7

15.8

15.8

15.5

14.8

14.2

13.8

 

10.2

 

 

 

 

 

 

9.5

 

 

 

2.6

 

 

 

 

 

 

6.3

 

 

 

7.7

5.9

5.5

5.5

5.5

5.4

5.3

5.2

5.0

4.6

 

9.4

10.6

11.2

11.9

12.4

12.7

12.7

12.5

12.4

13.4

 

1.8

 

 

 

 

 

 

3.0

 

 

 

6.9

7.1

7.4

7.7

8.1

8.3

8.3

8.1

7.9

7.8

 

4.7

 

 

 

 

 

 

7.2

 

 

 

9.9

10.7

11.1

11.3

11.4

11.4

11.4

11.6

11.9

12.4

 

11.3

10.6

10.5

10.4

10.1

10.0

10.1

10.4

10.7

10.7

 

13.8

14.6

14.9

15.0

15.0

14.8

14.6

14.4

13.8

13.1

 

8.1

8.0

7.9

7.6

7.7

8.1

8.6

9.1

9.7

10.2

 

11.8

11.1

11.4

12.3

13.3

14.3

15.1

15.6

15.6

15.3

 

11.8

11.8

11.4

11.2

11.5

11.9

12.5

12.3

11.4

11.0

 

8.9

8.3

8.1

7.9

7.8

7.5

7.3

7.2

7.4

7.5

 

9.8

 

 

 

 

 

 

10.7

 

 

 

7.2

 

 

 

 

 

 

5.6

 

 

 

7.7

7.4

7.8

7.9

8.2

8.4

8.1

8.1

8.3

8.4

 

4.9

 

 

 

 

 

 

5.9

 

 

OECD

8.9

 

 

 

 

 

 

9.5

 

10.9

 

7.8

 

 

 

 

 

 

10.4

 

 

 

9.1

 

 

 

 

 

 

16.8

 

 

 

4.1

 

 

 

 

 

 

9.5

 

 

 

1.0

 

 

 

 

 

 

1.0

 

 

 

0.8

 

 

 

 

 

 

1.2

 

 

 

9.1

 

 

 

 

 

 

12.4

 

 

 

2.7

 

 

 

 

 

 

9.4

 

 

 

2.2

 

 

 

 

 

 

3.3

 

 

EU 28

11.3

11.2

11.4

11.6

11.7

11.7

11.6

11.4

11.3

11.2

: OECD28 2010~2015 2050 OECD . EU 28(EU ) . EU: EU (2015), 2015 .

: European Commission (2015), 2015 Ageing Report; Standard & Poor’s (2016), Global Aging 2016: 58 Shades of Gray: Argentina, Brazil, Canada, Chile, China, India, Indonesia, Israel, Japan, Korea, Mexico, New Zealand, Russian Federation, Saudi Arabia, South Africa, Switzerland, Turkey and the United States; Standard & Poor’s (2013), Global Aging 2013: Rising to the Challenge: Iceland; Australia: 2015 Intergenerational Report Australia in 2055. Figures are based on the proposed policy as at the 2015 Intergenerational Report.

.

StatLink http://dx.doi.org/10.1787/888933634610

2017 : OECD G20

149

2017

OECD G20

8

‘ 2015’.

7 ., ,.

. OECD. ,, .

보여준다. . 2016 2015 .

.

, 2012~2016.

. OECD, , .

151

8

2016 OECD 17 ( ). OECD 10 ( ) 40% .

2016 OECD 35 17. , ,70%. . ..( : , , ). .

해왔다. , , ,.OECD , ,( ) . , , ,, ,. 40~60% ..

.,.. () , , , , ,

, , , , 40% .(5% )..

, , , ( ) .. “ (KiwiSaver, 2007 )” 75% .2007

(Trattamento di Fine Rapporto, TFR) TFR.20% .2012/2013 34% 2015/2016 43%. . 20175 45. .

“ ” () ( :

ATP) .

(OECD, 2012 )..

152

2017 : OECD G20

8

..

OECD (2012), OECD Pensions Outlook 2012, OECD Publishing,

Paris, http://dx.doi.org/10.1787/9789264169401-en.

8.1. , 2016

(15~64 )

 

/

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

75.7

x

..

..

 

x

13.9

18.0

..

 

x

59.6

..

..

 

x

26.3

25.2

..

 

84.3

..

..

..

 

x

x

52.6

52.6

 

ATP: 84.0 QMO: 63.4

x

18.0

18.0

 

81.4

x

12.3

12.3

 

 

 

 

 

 

89.8

6.6

19.0

25.6

 

x

24.5

5.7

..

 

x

57.0

33.8

70.4

 

x

1.3

..

..

 

x

..

18.4

..

 

85.1

x

45.2

45.2

 

 

 

 

 

 

x

38.3

12.6

46.7

 

91.1

..

..

..

 

x

9.2

11.5

20.0

 

..

45.4

13.4

50.8

 

17.1

x

24.0

24.0

 

~100

0.3

11.4

..

 

 

 

 

 

 

x

5.1

..

..

 

61.4

1.7

..

..

 

88.0

x

28.3

28.3

 

x

6.8

74.8

..

 

56.3

..

26.7

..

 

x

1.6

66.6

..

 

 

 

 

 

 

x

3.7

4.5

..

 

36.1

x

19.0

19.0

 

x

..

..

37.8

 

x

3.3

15.7

18.6

 

PPS: ~100 QMO: ~90

x

24.2

24.2

 

73.7

x

..

..

 

 

 

 

 

 

1.5

1.0

13.9

..

 

x

..

..

43.0

 

x

40.8

19.3

..

: QMO = , PPS = , “..” = , “x” = , “~” = ., (15~64 ) .

: OECD Global Pension Statistics.

StatLink http://dx.doi.org/10.1787/888933634629

2017 : OECD G20

153

8

. OECD. 2016 . ,

, ..

포함된다. ,. .OECD.

OECD. OECD 35 32 .. 2016 .

OECD , , ,, , () , . .

(DB) (DC) . (DC),(DB).

(DB) ,. , .

(cash balance plan, )

() .(), ,. (DB) (DC) ,. ,(DC)(DB) . .(DC) .

. OECD 23 18 50% .

.. ,

2015 621 4,600 2016 614 6,500 .

“ ” (

154

2017 : OECD G20

 

 

 

 

 

 

8

 

 

 

 

 

 

) ( :

 

 

 

ATP) .

 

OECD (2005), Private Pensions: OECD Classification and Glossary,

 

 

 

 

OECD

OECD, Paris, www.oecd.org/dataoecd/0/49/38356329.pdf.

(OECD, 2005 ), .

 

 

 

 

 

8.2. OECD OECD , 2016

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

, , ,

, ,

,

, , ,

, ,

 

 

 

, , ,

, ,

 

 

 

, ,

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

, , ,

 

 

 

 

 

 

, ,

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

, ,

 

 

 

 

 

 

, , ,

 

 

 

 

 

 

, ,

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

StatLink

http://dx.doi.org/10.1787/888933634648

8.3.OECD , 2016

: OECD Global Pension Statistics.

StatLink http://dx.doi.org/10.1787/888933634667

2017 : OECD G20

155

8

OECD . 2016 OECDGDP 83% (GDP ). OECD 18. 2015 GDP 19% .

2016 OECD 38 1. 25 1 OECD 65.9% OECD.OECD 2 4 2016 OECD 6.3% , 2 36.0% , 1 5 4.0%, 1 4 3.6% , 1 3 3.5% .

GDP 2016 OECD

GDP (asset-to-GDP ratio) 83.0% . OECD 7 GDP 100%, (209.0%), (180.3%), (159.2%), (150.7%), (141.6%), (134.9%) (123.9%) ., .

GDP. OECD 9 20% GDP. .GDP 69.6%. 1990 2000 .2016 , GDP 15~20% . ,,.

(pay-as-you-go)

(prefunding) .

(Public pension reserve funds, PPFR)

, . 2015 PPRF 18 OECD5 1 .2 8 (US social security trust fund) OECD

54.7% . ,. (Government Pension Investment Fund) 1 1OECD 22.1% ., ,, OECD 8.5%, 4.8%, 2.9% .

PPRF 2015 OECD GDP 13.9%

.

(National Pension Fund) GDP 32.8% .30.2% , 29.5%, 25.8% . , , ,

PPRF (2001~2006 ), .. 2014(Ireland Strategic Investment Fund)(Irish National Pension Reserve Fund)

PPRF .(pay-as-you-go)

156

2017 : OECD G20

8

.

“ ” () ( :

ATP) .

연금제도이다. ,

. .

.

PPRF . .

8.4. OECD ,

GDP (USD )

 

, 2016

, 2015

 

 

 

 

 

 

GDP

USD ( )

GDP

USD ( )

 

 

 

 

 

OECD

 

 

 

 

 

123.9

1 523 302

7.3

90 026

 

 

 

 

 

 

6.0

21 980

x

x

 

6.9

30 612

5.2

23 439

 

 

 

 

 

 

159.2

2 403 874

17.0

249 215

 

69.6

174 480

3.6

8 112

 

 

 

 

 

 

8.4

15 684

x

x

 

209.0

611 895

x

x

 

 

 

 

 

 

16.4

3 656

x

x

 

59.3

134 867

8.8

20 416

 

 

 

 

 

 

9.8

230 184

2.5

59 552

 

6.8

223 906

1.1

37 055

 

 

 

 

 

 

0.7

1 254

x

x

 

4.3

5 105

x

x

 

 

 

 

 

 

150.7

32 359

x

x

 

40.7

118 322

x

x

 

 

 

 

 

 

55.7

177 293

x

x

 

9.4

165 238

x

x

 

 

 

 

 

 

29.4

1 354 754

25.8

1 137 247

 

26.9

364 634

32.8

436 950

 

 

 

 

 

 

12.7

3 340

x

x

 

2.9

1 659

30.2

17 215

 

 

 

 

 

 

16.7

156 503

0.1

1 511

 

180.3

1 335 227

x

x

 

 

 

 

 

 

24.4

45 109

11.8

19 974

 

10.2

36 899

6.9

24 269

 

 

 

 

 

 

9.3

41 038

1.1

4 984

 

10.8

21 092

7.9

15 350

 

 

 

 

 

 

11.2

9 523

x

x

 

7.0

2 963

x

x

2017 : OECD G20

157

8

 

, 2016

, 2015

 

 

 

 

 

 

GDP

USD ( )

GDP

USD ( )

 

 

 

 

 

 

14.0

164 241

3.0

35 362

 

80.6

389 264

29.5

147 883

 

 

 

 

 

 

141.6

904 380

x

x

 

4.8

35 217

x

x

 

 

 

 

 

 

95.3

2 273 713

x

x

 

134.9

25 126 592

15.4

2 812 510

 

 

 

 

 

OECD

: 50.0%

:

: 11.7%

:

 

: 83.0%

38 140 159

: 13.9%

5 141 071

 

..

..

10.3

50 689

 

 

 

 

 

 

22.9

439 507

x

x

 

1.5

159 357

2.7

294 820

 

 

 

 

 

 

1.1

23 472

4.6

101 247

 

1.8

17 035

..

..

 

 

 

 

 

 

6.1

87 038

x

x

 

..

..

..

..

 

 

 

 

 

 

100.6

259 622

x

x

 

 

 

 

 

: “..” , “x” , “ ” , “ ” . “OECD” OECD

GDP (GDP ) .

: OECD Global Pension Statistics and Annual Survey of Public Pension.

StatLink http://dx.doi.org/10.1787/888933634686

158

2017 : OECD G20

Соседние файлы в папке книги