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2. GENERAL ENERGY POLICY

Figure 2.2 Trends in the growth of the economy, population and energy indicators

Index 2001 = 1

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

3.5

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

GDP (PPP)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

3.0

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Electricity generation

2.5

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Energy-related CO2 emissionss

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2

2.0

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

TPES

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

TFC

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

1.5

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Population

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Energy-related CO2/kWh power

1.0

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Energy-related CO2/GDP (PPP)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

0.5

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

0

2003

2005

2007

2009

2011

2013

2015

2017

IEA 2019.

2001

All rights reserved.

India’s energy demand and emissions are steadily growing, driven by strong growth in GDP.

Source: IEA (2019a), World Energy Balances 2019, www.iea.org/statistics/.

Energy consumption

India’s TFC increased by 50% in the decade from 2007 to 2017, with significant growth across all sectors (Figure 2.3). Half of the growth came from the industrial sector, which accounted for 42% of TFC in 2017, including non-energy consumption.

Figure 2.3 TFC by sector, 1973-2017

Mtoe

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

700

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Industry*

600

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Transport

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

500

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Residential

400

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Services/other**

300

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

200

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

100

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

0

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

IEA 2019.

1973

1977

1981

1985

1989

1993

1997

2001

2005

2009

2013

2017

All rights reserved.

India’s TFC has increased by 50% in the past decade, with growth across all sectors, but the largest increases in industry and transport.

*Industry includes non-energy consumption.

**Services/other includes commercial and public services, agriculture and forestry. Note: Years run from 1 April to 31 March.

Source: IEA (2019a), World Energy Balances 2019, www.iea.org/statistics/.

Industry consumes a mix of coal, oil, natural gas, electricity and biofuels, with fossil fuels together representing 56% of total consumption (not counting electricity production) (Figure 2.4).

21

ENERGY INSIGHTS

IEA. All rights reserved.

2. GENERAL ENERGY POLICY

The residential sector is the second biggest energy consumer at 29% of TFC in 2017. Traditional use of biomass for heating and cooking accounts for the largest share of residential energy consumption, although the lack of sufficient data collection makes the numbers uncertain.

The transport sector is the third-largest energy consumer at 17% of TFC in 2017, dominated by oil fuels. Transport energy demand has more than doubled in a decade, accounting for one-quarter of TFC growth. Finally, the service sector including agriculture consumed 12% of TFC in 2017, with electricity accounting for more than half.

Figure 2.4 TFC by source and sector, 2017

Industry*

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Oil

 

23%

 

 

 

13%

 

 

36%

 

 

 

13%

16%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Natural gas

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Transport

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

1%

 

Coal

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

95%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

3%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Residential

 

2%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Bioenergy and waste

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

15%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

68%

 

 

 

 

 

 

14%

 

 

 

 

Electricity

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Services/other**

 

25%

 

 

 

 

 

13%

 

10%

 

 

 

50%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

33%

 

 

 

 

6%

17%

 

 

27%

 

17%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

IEA 2019.

0%

20%

40%

 

60%

80%

100%

 

 

 

All rights reserved.

India’s sectors show large variations in energy source, with clear dominance of oil in transport, bioenergy in the residential sector and electricity in commercial consumption.

*Industry includes non-energy consumption.

**Services/other includes commercial and public services, agriculture and forestry. Note: The year runs from 1 April 2017 to 31 March 2018.

Source: IEA (2019a), World Energy Balances 2019, www.iea.org/statistics/.

Primary energy supply

The rapid growth in TFC, as well as in power generation to supply rising electricity demand, has led to a rapid increase in TPES. From 2007 to 2017 TPES increased by 55%, largely met by fossil fuels (Figure 2.5). Coal met 44% of TPES in 2017 and accounted for over half of the total growth in energy supply in the past decade. Oil is the second-largest primary energy source, providing 25% of TPES in 2017. Increased oil supply represented 26% of total growth in TPES in the last decade. Natural gas, by contrast, was not able to satisfy growing demand and its share of power generation and TPES has decreased in the past five years.

Bioenergy is the third-largest primary energy source in India, estimated to provide 21% of TPES in 2017. Compared to the rapid growth in fossil fuels, the increase in bioenergy supply has been modest. Hydropower supply has also been relatively stable, with around 10% growth in the past decade. Wind and solar, in contrast, have increased very rapidly, but from much lower levels. In 2017 together they accounted for just 1% of TPES. India also has a nuclear power fleet, which contributes around 1% to TPES.

IEA. All rights reserved.

22

 

2. GENERAL ENERGY POLICY

Figure 2.5 TPES by source, 1973-2017

1000

Mtoe

 

 

 

Oil

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

800

 

 

 

Natural gas

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Coal

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

600

Nuclear

 

400

Bioenergy and waste

 

 

Other renewables*

200

 

0

1973 1977 1981 1985 1989 1993 1997 2001 2005 2009 2013 2017 IEA 2019.

All rights reserved.

India’s energy supply has increased by 55% in the last decade, relying on rapid growth in fossil fuels, which accounted for three-quarters of TPES in 2017.

*Other renewables include hydro, solar and wind.

Notes: Bioenergy data are estimated by the IEA; years run from 1 April to 31 March. Source: IEA (2019a), World Energy Balances 2019, www.iea.org/statistics/.

Energy production and self-sufficiency

Coal and biomass dominate India’s domestic energy production. In 2017 coal accounted for nearly half of total production, while bioenergy and waste were estimated to provide another third (Figure 2.6). India’s oil and gas production is relatively low, and the country is dependent on imports, especially for oil (Figure 2.7).

Figure 2.6 Energy production by source, 1974-2017

600

Mtoe

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Oil

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

500

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Natural gas

400

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Coal

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Nuclear

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

300

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Bioenergy and waste

200

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Other renewables*

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

100

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

0

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

IEA 2019.

1973

1977

1981

1985

1989

1993

1997

2001

2005

2009

2013

2017

All rights reserved.

Domestic energy production has steadily increased for several decades and is dominated by coal and bioenergy.

*Other renewables include hydro, solar and wind.

Notes: Bioenergy data are estimated by the IEA; years run from 1 April to 30 March. Source: IEA (2019a), World Energy Balances 2019, www.iea.org/statistics/.

Despite rapid growth, domestic energy production has not kept up with the increase in energy demand. As a result, India has become increasingly dependent on imports. Imports of oil have been increasing at a constant rate and imports of natural gas are rising fast amid a sharp decline in domestic production (Figure 2.7). However, coal imports fell by

23

ENERGY INSIGHTS

IEA. All rights reserved.

2. GENERAL ENERGY POLICY

about 12% between 2014 and 2016 because of weaker electricity demand and the government’s focus on promoting domestic coal production to reduce coal imports.

Figure 2.7 Import dependencies for different energy sources in TPES, 2007-17

100%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Oil

80%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Natural gas

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

60%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Coal

40%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

20%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

0%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

IEA 2019.

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

All rights reserved.

Domestic production has not kept up with increased energy demand, and India remains dependent on energy imports, especially of oil.

Notes: Energy net imports as share of TPES; years run from 1 April to 31 March.

Source: IEA (2019a), World Energy Balances 2019, www.iea.org/statistics/.

Among the Group of Twenty (G20) countries, India’s energy supply increased by 55% between 2007 and 2017, the highest growth rate, albeit from a low level (Figure 2.9) given that is has the lowest GDP per capita (Figure 2.8). With regard to the share of fossil fuels in India’s energy mix (74%), the country ranks fifteenth lowest by comparison among the G20 (Figure 2.10).

Figure 2.8 Change in TPES 2007-17 by GDP per capita 2016, G20 countries

60%

50%

40%

30%

20%

10%

0% -10% -20% -30%

TPES change 2007-17

 

India

China

 

 

 

 

Saudi Arabia

 

 

 

Turkey

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Indonesia

 

 

Korea

 

 

 

 

Brazil

 

 

 

 

 

 

Argentina

 

 

 

 

 

South Africa

 

 

Russian Federation

 

Canada

Australia

 

 

 

Mexico

EU-28

France

Germany

United States

 

 

Italy

 

 

 

 

Japan

United Kingdom

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

0

10

20

 

30

 

40

50

60

 

 

 

GDP (USD 1 000 PPP) per capita 2016

IEA 2019. All rights reserved.

India has seen the highest growth rate of TPES among the G20 countries, and has also the lowest GDP per capita.

Source: IEA (2019a), World Energy Balances 2019, www.iea.org/statistics/.

IEA. All rights reserved.

24

2. GENERAL ENERGY POLICY

Figure 2.9 TPES by country, G20 countries, 2007 and 2017

3 500

Mtoe

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

80%

 

 

2007

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

55%

 

 

 

46%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

3 000

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

46%

-8%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

51%

 

 

60%

 

 

2017

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2 500

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

27%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

34%

 

 

 

 

-9%

 

40%

 

 

Change

2 000

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

16%

23%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

1 500

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

(right axis)

1 000

 

4%

4%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

-1%

 

 

 

 

 

2%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

9%

 

 

 

 

20%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

-7% -5%

-16%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

-17%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

0%

 

 

 

500

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

-17%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

0

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

-20%

 

IEA 2019.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

All rights reserved.

India’s energy supply increased by 55% between 2007 and 2017, but remains low compared to the major G20 economies United States and the People’s Republic of China.

Source: IEA (2019a), World Energy Balances 2019, www.iea.org/statistics/.

Figure 2.10 TPES by fuel, G20 countries, 2017

Saudi Arabia

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Australia

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

South Africa

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Japan

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Mexico

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Russia

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Argentina

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

China

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Turkey

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

United States

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Korea

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Italy

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Germany

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

United Kingdom

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

India

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Canada

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

EU-28

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Indonesia

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Brazil

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

France

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Coal*

Natural gas

Oil

Nuclear

Hydro

Geothermal

Other renewables**

Biofuels and waste

IEA 2019. All rights reserved.

India has a lower share of fossil fuels in TPES than most G20 countries, but that is mostly from traditional use of biomass.

*Coal also includes shares of peat and oil shale. **Other renewables include hydro, solar and wind.

Notes: Does not include electricity imports and exports. Bioenergy data for India are estimated by the IEA. For India, the year run from 1 April 2017 to 31 March 2018.

Source: IEA (2019a), World Energy Balances 2019, www.iea.org/statistics/.

25

ENERGY INSIGHTS

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