
- •Abstract
- •Acknowledgements
- •Highlights
- •Executive summary
- •Findings and recommendations
- •Electric mobility is developing at a rapid pace
- •Policies have major influences on the development of electric mobility
- •Technology advances are delivering substantial cost reductions for batteries
- •Strategic importance of the battery technology value chain is increasingly recognised
- •Other technology developments are contributing to cost cuts
- •Private sector response confirms escalating momentum for electric mobility
- •Outlooks indicate a rising tide of electric vehicles
- •Electric cars save more energy than they use
- •Electric mobility increases demand for raw materials
- •Managing change in the material supply chain
- •Safeguarding government revenue from transport taxation
- •New mobility modes have challenges and offer opportunities
- •References
- •Introduction
- •Electric Vehicles Initiative
- •EV 30@30 Campaign
- •Global EV Pilot City Programme
- •Scope, content and structure of the report
- •1. Status of electric mobility
- •Vehicle and charger deployment
- •Light-duty vehicles
- •Stock
- •Cars
- •Light-commercial vehicles
- •Sales and market share
- •Cars
- •Light-commercial vehicles
- •Charging infrastructure
- •Private chargers
- •Publicly accessible chargers
- •Small electric vehicles for urban transport
- •Stock and sales
- •Two/three-wheelers
- •Low-speed electric vehicles
- •Charging infrastructure
- •Buses
- •Stock and sales
- •Charging infrastructure
- •Trucks
- •Stock and sales
- •Charging infrastructure
- •Other modes
- •Shipping
- •Aviation
- •Energy use and well-to-wheel GHG emissions
- •Electricity demand and oil displacement
- •Well-to-wheel GHG emissions
- •References
- •2. Prospects for electric mobility development
- •Electric mobility targets: Recent developments
- •Country-level targets
- •City-level targets
- •Policy updates: Vehicles and charging infrastructure
- •Charging standards
- •Hardware
- •Communication protocols
- •Supporting policies
- •Canada
- •China
- •Vehicle policies
- •Charging infrastructure policies
- •Industrial policies
- •European Union
- •Vehicle policies
- •Charging infrastructure policies
- •Industrial policy
- •India
- •Vehicle policies
- •Charging infrastructure policies
- •Japan
- •Vehicle policies
- •Charging infrastructure policies
- •Industrial policy
- •Korea
- •Vehicle policies
- •Charging infrastructure
- •Industrial policy
- •United States
- •Vehicle policies
- •Charging infrastructure
- •Industrial policy
- •Other countries
- •The emergence of a Global Electric Mobility Programme
- •Industry roll-out plans
- •Vehicles
- •Light-duty vehicles
- •Two/three-wheelers
- •Buses
- •Trucks
- •Automotive batteries
- •Charging infrastructure
- •References
- •3. Outlook
- •Scenario definitions
- •Electric vehicle projections
- •Policy context for the New Policies Scenario
- •Global results
- •Two/three-wheelers
- •Light-duty vehicles
- •Buses
- •Trucks
- •Regional insights
- •China
- •Europe
- •India
- •Japan
- •United States and Canada
- •Other countries
- •Implications for automotive batteries
- •Capacity of automotive batteries
- •Material demand for automotive batteries
- •Charging infrastructure
- •Private chargers
- •Light-duty vehicles
- •Buses
- •Private charging infrastructure for LDVs and buses
- •Publicly accessible chargers for LDVs
- •Impacts of electric mobility on energy demand
- •Electricity demand from EVs
- •Structure of electricity demand for EVs in the New Policies Scenario
- •Structure of electricity demand for EVs in the EV30@30 Scenario
- •Implications of electric mobility for GHG emissions
- •References
- •4. Electric vehicle life-cycle GHG emissions
- •Context
- •Methodology
- •Key insights
- •Detailed assessment
- •Life-cycle GHG emissions: drivers and potential for emissions reduction
- •Effect of mileage on EV life-cycle GHG emissions
- •Effect of vehicle size and power on EV life-cycle emissions
- •Effect of power system and battery manufacturing emissions on EV life-cycle emissions
- •References
- •5. Challenges and solutions for EV deployment
- •Vehicle and battery costs
- •Challenge
- •EV purchase prices are not yet competitive with ICE vehicles
- •Indications from the total cost of ownership analysis
- •Effect of recent battery cost reductions on the cost gap
- •Impacts of developments in 2018 on the total cost of ownership
- •Solutions
- •Battery cost reductions
- •Reducing EV costs with simpler and innovative design architectures
- •Adapting battery sizes to travel needs
- •Supply and value chain sustainability of battery materials
- •Challenges
- •Solutions
- •Towards sustainable minerals sourcing via due diligence principles
- •Initiatives for better battery supply chain transparency and sustainable extractive activities
- •Bridging the gap between due diligence principles and on-the-ground actions
- •Battery end-of-life management
- •Implications of electric mobility for power systems
- •Challenges
- •Solutions
- •Potential for controlled EV charging to deliver grid services and participate in electricity markets
- •Enabling flexibility from EVs
- •Importance of policy actions to enable EV participation in markets
- •Government revenue from taxation
- •Challenges
- •Solutions
- •Near-term options
- •Long-term solutions
- •Shared and automated mobility
- •Challenges
- •Solutions
- •References
- •Statistical annex
- •Electric car stock
- •New electric car sales
- •Market share of electric cars
- •Electric light commercial vehicles (LCV)
- •Electric vehicle supply equipment stock
- •References
- •Acronyms, abbreviations and units of measure
- •Acronyms and abbreviations
- •Units of measure
- •Table of contents
- •List of Figures
- •List of Boxes
- •List of Tables

Global EV Outlook 2019 |
1. Status of electric mobility |
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operating these lines included the requirement for the buses to be emissions free. The Dutch manufacturer VDL provided the buses, which use a combination of fast charging during the day at terminals and depot charging at night with slow chargers. The Schiphol Group financed parts of the charging infrastructure. The fleet size will increase to about 260 vehicles by 2021 (Royal Schiphol Group, 2019). The Netherlands leads the market for electric buses in Europe, with projects such as the confirmed purchase of 159 battery electric buses and 22 fuel cell electric buses in Groningen and 23 battery electric buses in Leiden, making Leiden’s fleet all electric (IRIS Smart Cities, 2018; Morris, 2018).
Santiago de Chile and cities in Latin America
Electric buses arrived in Latin America in 2018 with the roll-out of 200 units in Santiago de Chile. This came after a fleet renewal negotiation that included 200 electric buses and 490 buses that comply with the Euro VI standard. BYD and Yutong, Chinese manufacturers, delivered 100 electric buses each. BYD buses deploy charging at two depots while Yutong buses charge at terminals. Three operators lease the buses from the energy companies Enel X and ENGIE which own the vehicles. The roll-out of electric buses in this region expands with the delivery of 20 battery electric buses to the city of Guayaquil (Ecuador) and confirmed order for 64 vehicles for Medellin (Colombia), both supplied by BYD (El Comercio, 2019; Field, 2019b).
Cities in India
Government funding for 390 electric buses made available in late 2017 under the first phase of the FAME scheme drove adoption of electric buses in India in 2018. (See Chapter 2, Supporting policies for information on the FAME scheme). The Government of India selected 11 cities with a population over 1 million to conduct tenders to obtain 390 electric buses for public transit systems. Cities were free to announce tenders either to purchase buses or to pay for their operation on a per kilometre basis for a certain period. Three domestic manufacturers (Tata Motors, Goldstone-BYD and Ashok Leyland) were selected (tender requirements excluded foreign OEMs), committing to deliver a total of 520 buses. Today Kolkata and Indore have electric buses in operation, with Kolkata buses using a combination of overnight slow charging and fast charging while fast charging is used in Indore (UITP, 2018).
Trucks
Stock and sales
The market for mediumand heavy-duty freight electric trucks was small in 2018 compared with other types of electric vehicles. An estimated 1 000-2 000 mediumand heavy-duty trucks were sold in 2018 in China, where the stock is likely to exceed 5 000 units.32 In Europe, a group of OEMs delivered electric medium-freight trucks to selected fleet operators for commercial
32 The range is due to limited accuracy and discrepancies across various data sources, and it is informed by information on the total of all commercial vehicle sales from the country submission and their distribution across LCVs, buses, minibuses, mediumand heavyduty trucks from other sources (D1EV, 2018; Find800, 2019; EV Volumes, 2019).
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