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ANNEXES

ANNEX B: Energy balances and key statistical data

Energy balances and key statistical data

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Unit: Mtoe

SUPPLY

 

1973

1990

2000

2010

2015

2016

2017E

TOTAL PRODUCTION

108.5

208.0

272.5

148.5

118.3

120.1

120.2

Coal

 

75.9

53.6

18.7

10.8

5.1

2.5

1.8

Peat

 

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

Oil

 

0.6

95.2

131.7

65.5

47.0

49.3

48.3

Natural gas

 

24.4

40.9

97.6

49.8

35.0

35.8

36.0

Biofuels and w aste1

-

0.6

1.9

5.0

8.2

9.1

9.9

Nuclear

 

7.3

17.1

22.2

16.2

18.3

18.7

18.3

Hydro

 

0.3

0.4

0.4

0.3

0.5

0.5

0.5

Wind

 

-

0.0

0.1

0.9

3.5

3.2

4.3

Geothermal

 

-

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

Solar/other2

 

-

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.7

0.9

1.0

TOTAL NET IMPORTS3

107.7

-4.1

-52.9

49.2

59.3

54.2

52.8

Coal

Exports

2.0

1.8

0.8

0.9

0.4

0.3

0.4

 

Imports

1.1

10.3

15.2

16.9

14.9

6.3

6.2

 

Net imports

-0.9

8.5

14.5

16.0

14.6

6.0

5.8

Oil

Exports

20.7

76.2

117.4

70.0

58.3

60.9

63.5

 

Imports

136.7

65.2

70.6

80.9

85.1

86.0

89.1

 

Int'l marine and aviation bunkers

-8.0

-8.9

-12.5

-13.5

-13.3

-13.6

-13.7

 

Net imports

107.9

-19.9

-59.2

-2.6

13.5

11.5

12.0

Natural Gas

Exports

-

-

11.3

13.0

11.9

8.4

9.4

 

Imports

0.7

6.2

2.0

46.9

38.3

40.8

40.5

 

Net imports

0.7

6.2

-9.3

33.9

26.5

32.3

31.1

Electricity

Exports

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.4

0.2

0.2

0.3

 

Imports

0.0

1.0

1.2

0.6

2.0

1.7

1.6

 

Net imports

0.0

1.0

1.2

0.2

1.8

1.5

1.3

TOTAL STOCK CHANGES

1.8

2.1

3.3

6.0

4.0

4.6

3.2

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

TOTAL SUPPLY (TPES)4

218.1

205.9

223.0

203.7

181.6

178.9

176.2

Coal

 

76.4

63.1

36.5

31.0

23.9

11.9

9.7

Peat

 

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

Oil

 

108.9

76.4

73.2

63.6

60.1

60.7

60.6

Natural gas

 

25.1

47.2

87.4

84.8

61.7

69.4

68.0

Biofuels and w aste1

-

0.6

1.9

6.6

11.1

12.1

12.5

Nuclear

 

7.3

17.1

22.2

16.2

18.3

18.7

18.3

Hydro

 

0.3

0.4

0.4

0.3

0.5

0.5

0.5

Wind

 

-

0.0

0.1

0.9

3.5

3.2

4.3

Geothermal

 

-

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

Solar/other2

 

-

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.7

0.9

1.0

Electricity trade5

0.0

1.0

1.2

0.2

1.8

1.5

1.3

Shares in TPES (%)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Coal

 

35.0

30.6

16.4

15.2

13.2

6.6

5.5

Peat

 

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

Oil

 

49.9

37.1

32.8

31.3

33.1

33.9

34.4

Natural gas

 

11.5

22.9

39.2

41.6

34.0

38.8

38.6

Biofuels and waste 1

-

0.3

0.9

3.2

6.1

6.8

7.1

Nuclear

 

3.3

8.3

9.9

7.9

10.1

10.4

10.4

Hydro

 

0.2

0.2

0.2

0.2

0.3

0.3

0.3

Wind

 

-

-

-

0.4

1.9

1.8

2.4

Geothermal

 

-

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

Solar/other 2

 

-

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.4

0.5

0.6

Electricity trade 5

-

0.5

0.5

0.1

1.0

0.8

0.7

0 is negligible, - is nil, .. is not available, x is not applicable. Please note: rounding may cause totals to differ from the sum of the elements.

206

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ANNEXES

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Unit: Mtoe

DEMAND

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

FINAL CONSUMPTION

1973

1990

2000

2010

2015

2016

2017E

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

TFC

143.2

138.2

150.7

138.0

126.0

128.2

..

 

Coal

31.7

11.1

4.3

3.0

2.8

2.3

..

 

Peat

-

-

-

-

-

-

..

 

Oil

73.1

61.2

62.6

55.4

53.8

55.0

..

 

Natural gas

18.4

41.8

52.4

47.1

38.2

39.4

..

 

Biofuels and w aste1

-

0.4

0.6

2.9

3.8

4.2

..

 

Geothermal

-

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

..

 

Solar/other2

-

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.1

0.1

..

 

Electricity

20.0

23.6

28.3

28.3

26.1

26.1

..

 

Heat

-

-

2.4

1.3

1.1

1.1

..

 

Shares in TFC (%)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Coal

22.1

8.0

2.9

2.2

2.2

1.8

..

 

Peat

-

-

-

-

-

-

..

 

Oil

51.0

44.3

41.5

40.2

42.7

42.9

..

 

Natural gas

12.8

30.2

34.8

34.1

30.3

30.8

..

 

Biofuels and waste 1

-

0.3

0.4

2.1

3.0

3.3

..

 

Geothermal

-

-

-

0.0

0.0

0.0

..

 

Solar/other 2

-

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

..

 

Electricity

14.0

17.1

18.8

20.5

20.7

20.4

..

 

Heat

-

-

1.6

0.9

0.9

0.9

..

 

TOTAL INDUSTRY6

64.6

43.0

45.5

33.8

30.7

30.4

..

 

Coal

14.0

6.7

2.7

2.3

2.2

1.7

..

 

Peat

-

-

-

-

-

-

..

 

Oil

33.3

15.6

16.3

12.3

10.8

11.1

..

 

Natural gas

9.4

12.0

15.3

9.1

8.1

8.0

..

 

Biofuels and w aste1

-

0.1

0.3

0.4

1.0

1.1

..

 

Geothermal

-

-

-

-

-

-

..

 

Solar/other2

-

-

-

-

-

-

..

 

Electricity

7.8

8.7

9.8

9.0

8.0

7.9

..

 

Heat

-

-

1.1

0.8

0.6

0.6

..

 

Shares in total industry (%)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Coal

21.7

15.5

6.0

6.7

7.3

5.6

..

 

Peat

-

-

-

-

-

-

..

 

Oil

51.5

36.3

35.8

36.3

35.2

36.4

..

 

Natural gas

14.6

27.8

33.6

26.8

26.4

26.2

..

 

Biofuels and waste 1

-

0.2

0.6

1.1

3.1

3.8

..

 

Geothermal

-

-

-

-

-

-

..

 

Solar/other 2

-

-

-

-

-

-

..

 

Electricity

12.1

20.1

21.6

26.6

26.1

26.0

..

 

Heat

-

-

2.4

2.4

2.0

2.0

..

 

TRANSPORT4

27.6

39.2

41.9

40.2

40.2

41.0

..

 

OTHER7

51.0

56.0

63.4

64.0

55.1

56.8

..

 

Coal

17.6

4.4

1.6

0.8

0.6

0.6

..

 

Peat

-

-

-

-

-

-

..

 

Oil

12.4

6.9

5.2

4.5

4.2

4.3

..

 

Natural gas

9.0

29.8

37.2

38.0

30.1

31.5

..

 

Biofuels and w aste1

-

0.3

0.3

1.3

1.9

2.1

..

 

Geothermal

-

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

..

 

Solar/other2

-

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.1

0.1

..

 

Electricity

12.0

14.5

17.8

18.9

17.7

17.8

..

 

Heat

-

-

1.3

0.4

0.5

0.5

..

 

Shares in other (%)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Coal

34.6

7.9

2.5

1.2

1.0

1.0

..

 

Peat

-

-

-

-

-

-

..

 

Oil

24.4

12.4

8.1

7.0

7.6

7.5

..

 

Natural gas

17.6

53.3

58.6

59.4

54.7

55.4

..

 

Biofuels and waste 1

-

0.6

0.5

2.1

3.5

3.7

..

 

Geothermal

-

-

-

0.0

0.0

0.0

..

 

Solar/other 2

-

-

-

0.1

0.1

0.1

..

 

Electricity

23.5

25.9

28.0

29.6

32.1

31.4

..

 

Heat

-

-

2.1

0.7

1.0

0.9

..

 

207

ANNEXES

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ANNEXES

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Unit: Mtoe

DEMAND

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

ENERGY TRANSFORMATION AND LOSSES

1973

1990

2000

2010

2015

2016

2017E

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

ELECTRICITY GENERATION8

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Input (Mtoe)

72.4

74.2

81.7

77.7

66.9

64.3

..

Output (Mtoe)

24.2

27.3

32.2

32.6

28.9

28.9

28.6

Output (TWh)

281.4

317.8

374.4

378.9

336.2

336.4

333.0

Output Shares (%)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Coal

62.1

65.0

32.7

28.7

22.9

9.4

7.0

Peat

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

Oil

25.6

10.9

2.3

1.3

0.6

0.5

0.7

Natural gas

1.0

1.6

39.6

46.4

29.7

42.6

40.0

Biofuels and waste 1

-

0.2

1.2

3.6

9.8

10.4

11.1

Nuclear

10.0

20.7

22.7

16.4

20.9

21.3

21.1

Hydro

1.4

1.6

1.4

0.9

1.9

1.6

1.8

Wind

-

-

0.3

2.7

12.0

11.1

14.9

Geothermal

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

Solar/other 2

-

-

-

-

2.2

3.1

3.4

TOTAL LOSSES

76.5

68.5

72.2

64.3

54.5

50.4

..

of w hich:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Electricity and heat generation9

48.2

46.9

47.1

43.7

36.5

34.0

..

Other transformation

11.0

5.1

5.6

3.5

3.0

2.4

..

Ow n use and transmission/distribution losses10

17.3

16.4

19.5

17.0

14.9

14.0

..

Statistical Differences

-1.7

-0.7

0.1

1.4

1.1

0.3

..

INDICATORS

1973

1990

2000

2010

2015

2016

2017E

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

GDP (billion 2010 USD)

1147.63

1642.51

2095.21

2441.17

2705.25

2757.62

2806.90

Population (millions)

56.22

57.24

58.89

62.76

65.11

65.65

66.05

TPES/GDP (toe/1000 USD)11

0.19

0.13

0.11

0.08

0.07

0.06

0.06

Energy production/TPES

0.50

1.01

1.22

0.73

0.65

0.67

0.68

Per capita TPES (toe/capita)

3.88

3.60

3.79

3.25

2.79

2.73

2.67

Oil supply/GDP (toe/1000 USD)11

0.09

0.05

0.03

0.03

0.02

0.02

0.02

TFC/GDP (toe/1000 USD)11

0.12

0.08

0.07

0.06

0.05

0.05

..

Per capita TFC (toe/capita)

2.55

2.41

2.56

2.20

1.93

1.95

..

CO2 emissions from fuel combustion (MtCO2)12

634.1

549.3

520.4

477.0

389.8

371.1

..

CO2 emissions from bunkers (MtCO2)12

25.2

27.0

37.7

40.9

40.2

41.1

..

GROWTH RATES (% per year)

73-90

90-00

00-10

10-14

14-15

15-16

16-17

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

TPES

-0.3

0.8

-0.9

-3.0

0.9

-1.5

-1.5

Coal

-1.1

-5.3

-1.6

-0.7

-20.7

-50.4

-18.4

Peat

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

Oil

-2.1

-0.4

-1.4

-2.2

3.1

1.1

-0.2

Natural gas

3.8

6.4

-0.3

-8.3

2.9

12.5

-2.1

Biofuels and w aste1

-

11.9

13.1

9.8

15.8

9.3

3.6

Nuclear

5.2

2.6

-3.1

0.6

10.3

2.0

-1.9

Hydro

1.8

-0.2

-3.4

13.1

7.1

-14.4

10.1

Wind

-

55.2

27.0

32.8

26.2

-7.3

32.7

Geothermal

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

Solar/other2

-

1.0

14.3

75.5

75.9

35.3

9.7

TFC

-0.2

0.9

-0.9

-2.9

2.5

1.8

..

Electricity consumption

1.0

1.8

-0.0

-2.0

0.2

0.1

..

Energy production

3.9

2.7

-5.9

-7.7

9.6

1.5

0.1

Net oil imports

..

..

..

..

-19.4

-15.2

4.4

GDP

2.1

2.5

1.5

2.0

2.3

1.9

1.8

TPES/GDP

-2.4

-1.6

-2.4

-4.9

-1.5

-3.3

-3.2

TFC/GDP

-2.3

-1.6

-2.4

-4.8

0.2

-0.2

..

0 is negligible, - is nil, .. is not available, x is not applicable. Please note: rounding may cause totals to differ from the sum of the elements.

208

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ANNEXES

Footnotes to energy balances and key statistical data

1.Biofuels and waste comprises solid biofuels, liquid biofuels, biogases, industrial waste, and municipal waste. Data are often based on partial surveys and may not be comparable between countries.

2.Other includes solar thermal, tide, and wave.

3.In addition to coal, oil, natural gas, and electricity, total net imports also includes solid and liquid biofuels.

4.Excludes international marine bunkers and international aviation bunkers.

5.Total supply of electricity represents the net trade. A negative number in the share of TPES indicates that exports are greater than imports.

6.Industry includes non-energy use.

7.Other includes residential, commercial and public services, agriculture/forestry, fishing, and other non-specified.

8.Inputs to electricity generation include inputs to electricity, co-generation, and heat plants. Output refers only to electricity generation.

9.Losses that arise in the production of electricity and heat at the main activity producer utilities and autoproducers. For non-fossil-fuel electricity generation, theoretical losses are shown based on the plant efficiencies of approximately 33% for nuclear and 100% for hydro, wind, tide, and solar photovoltaic.

10.Data on “losses” for forecast years often include large statistical differences that cover differences between expected supply and demand and mostly do not reflect real expectations on transformation gains and losses.

11.Toe per thousand US dollars at 2010 prices and exchange rates.

12.“CO2 emissions from fuel combustion” was estimated using the IPCC Tier I Sectoral Approach from the 2006 IPCC Guidelines. In accordance with the IPCC methodology, emissions from international marine and aviation bunkers are not included in the national totals. Projected emissions for oil and gas are derived by calculating the ratio of emissions to energy use for 2013 and applying this factor to forecast energy supply. Projected emissions for coal are based on product-specific supply projections and are calculated using the IPCC/OECD emission factors and methodology.

209

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