ANNEX B: Energy balances and key statistical data

Unit: Mtoe

SUPPLY

1973

1990

2000

2010

2015

2016

2017E

TOTAL PRODUCTION

1.120

3.467

2.159

1.849

1.929

4.201

4.850

Coal

0.045

0.016

-

-

-

-

-

Peat

1.020

1.411

0.965

0.997

0.770

0.679

0.766

Oil

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

Natural gas

-

1.873

0.958

0.224

0.106

2.483

2.848

Biofuels and w aste1

-

0.108

0.141

0.327

0.406

0.437

0.521

Nuclear

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

Hydro

0.055

0.060

0.073

0.052

0.069

0.059

0.060

Wind

-

-

0.021

0.242

0.565

0.529

0.640

Geothermal

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

Solar/other2

-

-

-

0.008

0.013

0.014

0.015

TOTAL NET IMPORTS3

5.620

6.681

11.587

12.362

11.691

9.341

8.822

Coal

Exports

0.073

0.019

0.006

0.007

0.011

0.009

0.010

Imports

0.578

2.010

1.697

0.964

1.481

1.155

1.192

Net imports

0.505

1.991

1.691

0.957

1.470

1.146

1.182

Oil

Exports

0.469

0.675

1.354

1.453

1.746

1.612

2.149

Imports

5.917

5.734

9.506

9.111

9.179

9.026

9.403

Int'l marine and aviation bunkers

-0.337

-0.366

-0.733

-0.805

-0.973

-0.994

-1.121

Net imports

5.111

4.693

7.419

6.853

6.460

6.420

6.133

Natural Gas

Exports

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

Imports

-

-

2.478

4.480

3.621

1.700

1.409

Net imports

-

-

2.478

4.480

3.621

1.700

1.409

Electricity

Exports

0.002

-

0.006

0.025

0.093

0.136

0.154

Imports

0.006

-

0.015

0.065

0.151

0.075

0.096

Net imports

0.004

-

0.009

0.040

0.058

-0.061

-0.058

TOTAL STOCK CHANGES

0.168

-0.237

0.057

0.178

-0.337

0.386

0.038

TOTAL SUPPLY (TPES)4

6.908

9.911

13.801

14.389

13.283

13.928

13.711

Coal

0.565

2.083

1.811

1.203

1.431

1.347

1.075

Peat

1.020

1.313

0.790

0.738

0.766

0.739

0.713

Oil

5.263

4.475

7.521

7.045

6.132

6.488

6.265

Natural gas

-

1.873

3.436

4.692

3.752

4.242

4.313

Biofuels and w aste1

-

0.108

0.141

0.370

0.496

0.572

0.689

Nuclear

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

Hydro

0.055

0.060

0.073

0.052

0.069

0.059

0.060

Wind

-

-

0.021

0.242

0.565

0.529

0.640

Geothermal

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

Solar/other2

-

-

-

0.008

0.013

0.014

0.015

Electricity trade5

0.004

-

0.008

0.040

0.058

-0.061

-0.058

Shares in TPES (%)

Coal

8.2

21.0

13.1

8.4

10.8

9.7

7.8

Peat

14.8

13.2

5.7

5.1

5.8

5.3

5.2

Oil

76.2

45.2

54.5

49.0

46.2

46.6

45.7

Natural gas

-

18.9

24.9

32.6

28.2

30.5

31.5

Biofuels and waste 1

-

1.1

1.0

2.6

3.7

4.1

5.0

Nuclear

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

Hydro

0.8

0.6

0.5

0.4

0.5

0.4

0.4

Wind

-

-

0.2

1.7

4.3

3.8

4.7

Geothermal

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

Solar/other 2

-

-

-

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

Electricity trade 5

0.1

-

0.1

0.3

0.4

-0.4

-0.4

Unit: Mtoe

DEMAND

FINAL CONSUMPTION

1973

1990

2000

2010

2015

2016

2017E

TFC

5.113

7.552

10.778

11.512

10.504

10.912

..

Coal

0.623

0.943

0.358

0.343

0.299

0.274

..

Peat

0.408

0.741

0.303

0.254

0.201

0.197

..

Oil

3.553

3.742

6.671

6.832

5.752

6.055

..

Natural gas

-

0.998

1.583

1.593

1.718

1.775

..

Biofuels and w aste1

-

0.108

0.118

0.297

0.365

0.399

..

Geothermal

-

-

-

-

-

-

..

Solar/other2

-

-

-

0.008

0.013

0.014

..

Electricity

0.529

1.021

1.745

2.186

2.156

2.199

..

Heat

-

-

-

-

-

-

..

Shares in TFC (%)

Coal

12.2

12.5

3.3

3.0

2.8

2.5

..

Peat

8.0

9.8

2.8

2.2

1.9

1.8

..

Oil

69.5

49.5

61.9

59.3

54.8

55.5

..

Natural gas

-

13.2

14.7

13.8

16.4

16.3

..

Biofuels and waste 1

-

1.4

1.1

2.6

3.5

3.7

..

Geothermal

-

-

-

-

-

-

..

Solar/other 2

-

-

-

0.0

0.0

0.0

..

Electricity

10.3

13.5

16.2

19.0

20.5

20.2

..

Heat

-

-

-

-

-

-

..

TOTAL INDUSTRY6

1.906

2.359

3.169

2.491

2.605

2.714

..

Coal

0.069

0.242

0.104

0.113

0.106

0.110

..

Peat

-

-

-

-

-

-

..

Oil

1.648

0.881

1.447

0.989

0.697

0.757

..

Natural gas

-

0.788

0.853

0.445

0.733

0.759

..

Biofuels and w aste1

-

0.063

0.100

0.161

0.223

0.215

..

Geothermal

-

-

-

-

-

-

..

Solar/other2

-

-

-

-

-

-

..

Electricity

0.189

0.386

0.665

0.783

0.846

0.872

..

Heat

-

-

-

-

-

-

..

Shares in total industry (%)

Coal

3.6

10.3

3.3

4.5

4.1

4.1

..

Peat

-

-

-

-

-

-

..

Oil

86.5

37.3

45.7

39.7

26.8

27.9

..

Natural gas

-

33.4

26.9

17.9

28.1

28.0

..

Biofuels and waste 1

-

2.7

3.2

6.5

8.6

7.9

..

Geothermal

-

-

-

-

-

-

..

Solar/other 2

-

-

-

-

-

-

..

Electricity

9.9

16.4

21.0

31.4

32.5

32.1

..

Heat

-

-

-

-

-

-

..

TRANSPORT4

1.129

1.641

3.458

3.976

3.728

4.020

..

OTHER7

2.078

3.552

4.151

5.045

4.172

4.178

..

Coal

0.555

0.701

0.254

0.230

0.193

0.163

..

Peat

0.408

0.741

0.303

0.254

0.201

0.197

..

Oil

0.776

1.221

1.768

1.964

1.420

1.400

..

Natural gas

-

0.211

0.731

1.148

0.986

1.016

..

Biofuels and w aste1

-

0.045

0.017

0.043

0.055

0.066

..

Geothermal

-

-

-

-

-

-

..

Solar/other2

-

-

-

0.008

0.013

0.014

..

Electricity

0.340

0.633

1.078

1.399

1.306

1.323

..

Heat

-

-

-

-

-

-

..

Shares in other (%)

Coal

26.7

19.7

6.1

4.6

4.6

3.9

..

Peat

19.6

20.9

7.3

5.0

4.8

4.7

..

Oil

37.3

34.4

42.6

38.9

34.0

33.5

..

Natural gas

-

5.9

17.6

22.8

23.6

24.3

..

Biofuels and waste 1

-

1.3

0.4

0.9

1.3

1.6

..

Geothermal

-

-

-

-

-

-

..

Solar/other 2

-

-

-

0.2

0.3

0.3

..

Electricity

16.4

17.8

26.0

27.7

31.3

31.7

..

Heat

-

-

-

-

-

-

..

ANNEXES

Unit: Mtoe

DEMAND

ENERGY TRANSFORMATION AND LOSSES

1973

1990

2000

2010

2015

2016

2017E

ELECTRICITY GENERATION8

Input (Mtoe)

1.761

3.087

4.874

4.878

4.434

4.793

..

Output (Mtoe)

0.632

1.224

2.036

2.423

2.417

2.591

2.639

Output (TWh)

7.348

14.229

23.673

28.176

28.099

30.126

30.691

Output Shares (%)

Coal

1.0

41.6

28.8

12.6

17.3

15.6

11.9

Peat

23.9

15.8

7.5

7.7

9.0

7.7

7.1

Oil

66.3

10.0

19.6

2.1

1.4

1.0

0.5

Natural gas

-

27.7

39.1

64.3

44.0

50.6

51.1

Biofuels and waste 1

-

-

0.4

1.1

2.0

2.5

2.9

Nuclear

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

Hydro

8.8

4.9

3.6

2.1

2.9

2.3

2.3

Wind

-

-

1.0

10.0

23.4

20.4

24.3

Geothermal

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

Solar/other 2

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

TOTAL LOSSES

1.674

2.209

3.346

3.006

2.568

2.797

..

of w hich:

Electricity and heat generation9

1.129

1.864

2.838

2.456

2.020

2.202

..

Other transformation

0.357

0.042

0.066

0.061

0.074

0.112

..

Ow n use and transmission/distribution losses10

0.188

0.303

0.442

0.489

0.474

0.483

..

Statistical Differences

0.121

0.150

-0.322

-0.128

0.210

0.218

..

INDICATORS

1973

1990

2000

2010

2015

2016

2017E

GDP (billion 2010 USD)

42.42

83.33

163.41

221.95

316.11

332.36

358.29

Population (millions)

3.07

3.51

3.80

4.56

4.64

4.68

4.80

TPES/GDP (toe/1000 USD)11

0.16

0.12

0.08

0.06

0.04

0.04

0.04

Energy production/TPES

0.16

0.35

0.16

0.13

0.15

0.30

0.35

Per capita TPES (toe/capita)

2.25

2.83

3.63

3.16

2.86

2.97

2.86

Oil supply/GDP (toe/1000 USD)11

0.12

0.05

0.05

0.03

0.02

0.02

0.02

TFC/GDP (toe/1000 USD)11

0.12

0.09

0.07

0.05

0.03

0.03

..

Per capita TFC (toe/capita)

1.66

2.15

2.83

2.52

2.26

2.33

..

CO2 emissions from fuel combustion (MtCO2)12

20.8

30.1

40.9

39.5

35.4

36.9

..

CO2 emissions from bunkers (MtCO2)12

1.0

1.1

2.2

2.4

2.9

3.0

..

GROWTH RATES (% per year)

73-90

90-00

00-10

10-14

14-15

15-16

16-17

TPES

2.1

3.4

0.4

-2.9

4.1

4.9

-1.6

Coal

8.0

-1.4

-4.0

0.6

16.3

-5.9

-20.2

Peat

1.5

-5.0

-0.7

1.0

-0.4

-

-

Oil

-0.9

5.3

-0.7

-4.6

5.2

5.8

-3.4

Natural gas

-

6.3

3.2

-5.6

0.8

13.1

1.7

Biofuels and w aste1

-

2.7

10.1

8.5

-3.3

15.3

20.5

Nuclear

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

Hydro

0.5

2.0

-3.3

4.1

13.1

-14.5

1.7

Wind

-

-

27.7

16.3

27.8

-6.4

21.0

Geothermal

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

Solar/other2

-

-

-

10.7

8.3

7.7

7.1

TFC

2.3

3.6

0.7

-3.0

2.9

3.9

..

Electricity consumption

3.9

5.5

2.3

-1.3

3.9

2.0

..

Energy production

6.9

-4.6

-1.5

2.3

-4.8

117.8

15.4

Net oil imports

-0.5

4.7

-0.8

-4.4

12.8

-0.6

-4.5

GDP

4.1

7.0

3.1

3.2

25.6

5.1

7.8

TPES/GDP

-1.8

-3.4

-2.6

-6.0

-17.2

-0.2

-8.6

TFC/GDP

-1.7

-3.1

-2.4

-6.0

-18.0

-1.2

..