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KRAFT FOODS INC IN PACKAGED FOOD (WORLD)

November 2011

SCOPE OF THE REPORT

Scope

This profile on Kraft Foods Inc covers the company‟s packaged food operations, focusing on its growth prospects for the 2011-2016 period.

Packaged Food - 2011

US$2,119 billion rps

Confectionery

Dairy

Bakery

US$185 million rsp

US$415 million rsp

US$462 million rsp

Disclaimer

Much of the information in this briefing is of a statistical nature and, while every attempt has been made to ensure accuracy and reliability, Euromonitor International cannot be held responsible for omissions or errors.

Figures in tables and analyses are calculated from unrounded data and may not sum. Analyses found in the briefings may not totally reflect the companies‟ opinions, reader discretion is advised.

The Cadbury acquisition has transformed Kraft Foods’s operations, created more balanced market coverage between developed and developing regions and shifted the portfolio to higher margin categories, such as confectionery and snacks. However, the restructuring continues. Kraft’s announcement to split its operations into two publicly traded companies outlines a plan to create two different trading entities with distinct priorities and strengths, which are analysed in this report.

© Euromonitor International

PACKAGED FOOD: KRAFT FOODS INC

PASSPORT 2

STRATEGIC EVALUATION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

MARKET ASSESSMENT

CONFECTIONERY OPPORTUNITIES

BISCUITS OPPORTUNITIES

DAIRY OPPORTUNITIES

BRAND STRATEGY

OPERATIONS

RECOMMENDATIONS

STRATEGIC EVALUATION

Key company facts

Kraft Foods Inc

Headquarters

Regional Involvement

Category Involvement

Global packaged food value share (2010)

Illinois, USA

Global

Present in most categories of the packaged food market

3.2%

Global packaged food

 

 

12.5% CAGR 2006-2010

value growth: (US$ fixed

(including impact of

exchange rate)

 

 

Cadbury acquisition)

Market Value Share by Core Category

 

 

 

2006/2010

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Dairy

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2010

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2006

Bakery

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Confectionery

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

0

5

10

15

 

 

 

 

 

% market value share

 

 

 

 

Kraft restructuring continues

Kraft has been the second largest global packaged food player over 2006-2010, and with the acquisition of Cadbury, the distance from topranked Nestlé shrank to 0.1 percentage points.

The company is active in a wide range of packaged food categories, but its main focus is concentrated more and more on biscuits, chocolate confectionery and cream cheese.

The restructuring is ongoing, Kraft‟s announcement in August 2011 to split its operations into two publicly traded companies outlines a plan to create two different trading entities with distinct priorities and strengths. One will encompass its global snacks operations and the other will be its North American grocery business.

Kraft enjoys a global profile, but its packaged food operations remain North America biased, with some 40% of its 2010 retail value sales in the region. The Cadbury acquisition has resulted in a more balanced geographic presence between developed and developing markets, but the company still has market gaps to fill in, especially emerging regions.

© Euromonitor International

PACKAGED FOOD: KRAFT FOODS INC

PASSPORT 4

STRATEGIC EVALUATION

The creation of the two new Kraft entities

By the end of 2012, Kraft is spinning off its US Beverages, Cheese, Convenient Meals and Grocery segments, the non-snack categories in Canada and its foodservice operations, which are worth an estimated US$16 billion in sales in total. The other entity, which encompasses the global snacks business, includes Kraft Foods Europe and Developing Markets and the North American snacks and confectionery business, with approximate sales of US$32 billion.

Over 2007-2010, Kraft undertook a major restructuring of its packaged food operations during which it has made two significant acquisitions: Cadbury in confectionery and Danone‟s biscuits business. The company also sold off divisions falling outside its identified growth areas, such as its US frozen pizza and Post cereals businesses.

Kraft has outlined its strategic aim to become a "global powerhouse in snacks, confectionery and quick meals". However, there remain some rather large operations that became a borderline strategic focus. For example, one large but ill-fitting division is the company‟s dairy operations, which has remained untouched during the recent restructuring process and only falls borderline with Kraft‟s present focus on snacking. That said, Kraft‟s dairy retail value sales are still worth some US$10 billion.

Given these business units‟ somewhat narrow geographic market reach, their limited potential to generate dynamic growth in mature markets that have also been strongly impacted by the global recession and the fact they do not sit well with the company‟s current strategic priorities, Kraft has now decided to split them from the dynamically performing global snacks business.

The major competitive strengths of both new Kraft entities continue to centre on the strong brand equities within their respective portfolios, their established consumer bases and their operational infrastructures.

Although the North American grocery business will face challenges in terms of sustained and significant growth in the still sluggish market, it is still large and valuable enough to generate a strong revenue stream. Meanwhile, the global snacks business will have to continue expanding into both new and existing markets in order to remain globally competitive over the long term.

© Euromonitor International

PACKAGED FOOD: KRAFT FOODS INC

PASSPORT 5

STRATEGIC EVALUATION

Kraft in packaged food by category now and after the split

Packaged Food Sales by Category 2010

Packaged Food Presence After the

 

Proposed Split of the Company

Confectionery

Bakery

Dairy

Chilled Processed Food

Sauces, Dressings and Condiments

Dried Processed Food

Sweet and Savoury Snacks

Other

Kraft's Global Snacks Business: Kraft Foods Europe, Developing Markets and North American snacks and confectionery

North American grocery business - Packaged foods*

Note: * Data show Krafts’s North American packaged food retail value sales less bakery, confectionery and sweet and savoury snacks

© Euromonitor International

PACKAGED FOOD: KRAFT FOODS INC

PASSPORT 6

STRATEGIC EVALUATION

Financial assessment: Q3 2011

Kraft Foods: Q3 2011 vs 2010 Financial results

US$ mn

2011

2010

% growth

 

 

 

 

Net revenues

13,226

11,863

11.5

Restructured portfolio enables stronger pricing

On a global level, the strongest contributing component in revenue growth was pricing, some 7 percentage points out of the over 8% organic net revenue growth.

Gross profit

4,615

4,321

6.8

Kraft‟s long-standing strategy has been to

Operating profit

1,698

1,519

11.8

restructure its portfolio for stronger positions in

high-margin market segments, such as

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

confectionery and snacks and enhance its brands‟

Net earnings

927

760

22.0

stable with high-equity labels, like Cadbury or

Oreo. Such a strategy enabled the company to

Positive revenue and profit growth

Despite the 14% rise in costs of sales during its third quarter 2011 operations, Kraft has reported a 22% rise in net earnings.

Net revenues grew across all geographies, exceeding 20% in developing markets and even in recession-hit North America, the group posted over 4% growth.

In Europe, revenues also increased, by 16%; however, operating income remained essentially flat due to the negative impact of ongoing integration costs.

implement strong pricing actions to recover higher input costs and maintain operating margin at 13% for Q3 2011.

Investments in further portfolio development

Kraft has also invested substantially in portfolio development through marketing and product innovation.

Grocery innovations added US$350 million to its revenues for the first nine months in 2011. New innovations include the launch of „triple double‟

Oreo biscuits in the US or its Greek yogurt line in five different flavours and in dual compartments.

© Euromonitor International

PACKAGED FOOD: KRAFT FOODS INC

PASSPORT 7

STRATEGIC EVALUATION

SWOT: Kraft Foods Inc

STRENGTHS

 

Strong brand portfolio

Global geographic market

 

reach

Kraft Foods has a

The Cadbury acquisition

strong brand portfolio.

has shifted Kraft‟s

Labels such as Oreo,

geographic market

Milka, Philadelphia and

reach to emerging

now Cadbury enjoy a

markets, albeit currently

high-profile presence in

its operations are still

core markets. The

North America biased.

company also has

 

strong local brands.

 

OPPORTUNITIES

Growth potential in

emerging markets Asia Pacific, Latin

America and Eastern Europe all hold growth opportunities for Kraft, especially with the strengthened growth platforms the Cadbury acquisition bring, in markets such as India.

Expansion in impulse

channels

Kraft is well positioned to benefit from the growth of a snacking culture as increasingly busier consumer lifestyles drive the expansion of the impulse retail market.

WEAKNESSES

Cost control

The company‟s operating costs as a percentage of its sales has increased from 87% in 2009 to 89% in the fiscal year ended 2010. The company‟s cost control can impact profitability negatively.

THREATS

Core operations in low-

health profile categories Kraft has made strong

health pledges. However, the company is highly associated with its operations in categories such as confectionery and cream cheese, which does not portray a healthy image.

Slow economic recovery

The post-recessionary outlook for Kraft Foods„s core developed markets is poor as maturity and waning consumer spending power are set to limit growth. The pressure on margins is set to increase.

Highly competitive food

industry

The main factors of competition in the industry include brand loyalty, price, product quality, innovation, promotion and the ability to identify and satisfy consumer preferences.

© Euromonitor International

PACKAGED FOOD: KRAFT FOODS INC

PASSPORT 8

STRATEGIC EVALUATION

Key strategic objectives and challenges

Creation of two independent Kraft entities with distinct priorities and strengths

The company‟s medium to long term key objectives include the optimisation of opportunities created by separation of its operations.

Positioning its North American grocery business to deliver high operational margins in the albeit mature but still affluent market will be key to its success. The global snacks business aimed to deliver dynamic growth rates benefitting from its high emerging markets‟ exposure.

Fluctuating commodity prices

Efficiency in improving margins is an integral part of the company‟s growth strategy. Over the recent recessionary quarters, Kraft‟s, and many of its competitors‟, financial results were affected by fluctuating raw material and commodity prices.

Packaged food companies‟ operational margins are sensitive to trends in agricultural prices, which are currently impacted by various economic and political factors, driving food inflation.

Drive strong growth through the iconic heritage brands

One of the key strengths of both future Kraft entities are the big portfolios of well-established, high-equity brands. However, the company will have to keep investing actively in new product developments under these labels in order to remain competitive and relevant to consumers in the fast-changing market environments. Kraft has increased it focus and investments in R&D and rolled out a number of new products aligned with driving trends, such as wellness or convenience.

Uncertain economic climate

The global economic recovery is uneven and growth performance will vary across regions.

In addition, mounting budget deficits and debt levels in developed economies can lead to financial spillovers and create uncertainty in international financial markets.

The operating environment for Kraft in many markets is likely to remain challenging over the short to medium term.

© Euromonitor International

PACKAGED FOOD: KRAFT FOODS INC

PASSPORT 9

STRATEGIC EVALUATION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

MARKET ASSESSMENT

CONFECTIONERY OPPORTUNITIES

BISCUITS OPPORTUNITIES

DAIRY OPPORTUNITIES

BRAND STRATEGY

OPERATIONS

RECOMMENDATIONS