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MARKET ASSESSMENT

Fashion products most dynamic

adidas AG: Apparel Presence and Growth Prospects by Category 2011-2016

% CAGR 2011-2016

6

5

4

3

2

1

0

 

Men's underwear,

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

nightwear and

 

 

Women's underwear,

 

nightwear

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

swimwear

 

 

and swimwear

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Footwear

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Childrenswear

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Clothing

 

 

 

 

 

 

Men‟s outerwear

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

accessories

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Hosiery

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Women‟s outerwear

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Opportunity Zone

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

0

100,000

200,000

300,000

400,000

500,000

600,000

Market size 2011 (US$ mn RSP)

Note: Bubble size indicates company share of category in 2011, range displayed: 0.2-5.8%

adidas AG is present across a wide number of categories. Its portfolio is primarily sports aligned; even its

Rockport footwear brand offers “outdoor” products. This means that its core opportunities are in footwear, men‟s outerwear and women‟s outerwear, the largest global categories and adidas‟ key opportunities.

However, women‟s products were the most dynamic for the company in 2011, with sales of women„s outerwear, clothing accessories and underwear, nightwear and swimwear growing by 12.6%, 17.8% and 21.4%, respectively, albeit from a lower base, as the company rolls out more of its adidas NEO stores.

Footwear is the company's core business, generating 60% of adidas‟ 2011 sales compared to 62% in 2006.

However, it was also the least dynamic category for the company, growing sales by 9.1% in 2011. This is still solid growth, but the company may need to investigate ways of adding value to the category in future.

© Euromonitor International

APPAREL: ADIDAS AG

PASSPORT 21

MARKET ASSESSMENT

Well-balanced global presence

adidas AG: Apparel Presence and Growth Prospects by Region 2011-2016

% CAGR 2011-2016

8

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Eastern Europe

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Asia Pacific

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

6

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Latin America

 

 

 

Opportunity Zone

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

4

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Middle East and

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

0

 

Africa

 

 

 

 

Western

Europe

 

Australasia

North America

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

-2

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

0 100,000 200,000 300,000 400,000 500,000 600,000

Market size 2011 (US$ mn RSP)

Note: Bubble size indicates company share of region in 2011, range displayed: 1.2-2.9%

The scale of Western Europe, Asia Pacific and North America make them the greatest opportunities over the forecast period for adidas. The company has in fact identified Russia/CIS, Greater China and North America as its attack markets, and will focus most on them over the forecast period.

The apparent lack of dynamism in Western Europe is less of a problem for the company, which in its annual report claimed to have grown sales by 10% in the region. adidas‟ strong brand equity, heavy spend on marketing and its push into retail are likely to continue to drive growth in the region, despite its ongoing economic difficulties, and high levels of disposable income continue to characterise the region.

adidas‟ Asia Pacific operations could be improved; it ranked fifth in China in 2011, compared to second in

2006. However, it is well set up in India, and the boom in middle-class consumers in both markets offer plenty of marketing opportunity for the company. Other emerging markets, notably Latin America where adidas is the leading apparel company, offer similar trends and opportunities.

© Euromonitor International

APPAREL: ADIDAS AG

PASSPORT 22

STRATEGIC EVALUATION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

MARKET ASSESSMENT

CATEGORY AND GEOGRAPHIC OPPORTUNITIES

BRAND STRATEGY

OPERATIONS

RECOMMENDATIONS

GEOGRAPHIC AND CATEGORY OPPORTUNITIES

Evolving distribution for different markets

adidas outperformed all of its global markets over the review period with the exception of Latin America.

The strength of the company‟s offer and its branding in particular have driven this trend, even in more mature markets such as Western Europe that have seen consumer confidence undermined by the global recession and the Eurozone crisis.

Development of sales in emerging markets has been in many ways easier. Regions such as Asia Pacific have seen an explosion in numbers of middle-class consumers with rising levels of disposable income. Consumer response to marketing and branding has driven growth for many large global apparel brand producers as a result, and adidas‟ high visibility, brand credibility and rapid product development has given it a competitive edge.

The company followed similar brand strategies in developed markets, but operates different sales models. Company-owned retail operations in Western Europe, for example, generated 13% of 2011 sales for the adidas and Reebok brands; in Eastern Europe, retail generated 24%. adidas is seeking to change this, and with the help of the far more developed e-commerce systems in developed markets, as well as higher digital media penetration and use, should be able to do so over the forecast period. Developing marketspecific sales models as it seeks to drive harder at controlling retail will be a challenge for the company.

adidas AG vs Total Apparel: US$ Million Fixed Exchange Rate, % CAGR 2006-2011

% CAGR 2006-2011

30

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

26

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total Apparel

 

 

22

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

adidas AG

 

 

18

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

14

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

10

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

6

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

-2

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Asia Pacific

 

Australasia

 

Eastern Europe

 

Latin America

 

Middle East and

 

North America

 

Western Europe

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Africa

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

© Euromonitor International

APPAREL: ADIDAS AG

PASSPORT 24

GEOGRAPHIC AND CATEGORY OPPORTUNITIES

BRIC economies are lead prospects for adidas

Brazil, Russia, India and China still hold the greatest potential for sales growth going forward in the global apparel market; all of them promise to deliver a CAGR of between 6% and 10% between 2011 and 2016.

However, the scale of the market in China makes it the number one target for manufacturers of international apparel brands. Exponential economic growth underpinning a rise in disposable incomes, a developing retail network and a large population of young Chinese eager for Western fashion will drive sales of apparel. adidas has identified the market as one of its primary development targets over the forecast period.

The debt crisis in the Eurozone (one of the company‟s largest export markets) and growing demands from trading partners for China to raise the value of its currency, making Chinese exports more expensive, may cool demand for consumer goods there. However, it is the scale of the consumer base and its long-term potential that makes it so central to adidas‟ strategy.

adidas also finds itself well positioned in the other nine leading global markets; of the 10 forecast to see strongest growth in absolute terms, adidas has a higher market share than Nike in four of them.

US$ billion

Constant value growth

 

 

 

 

 

 

Most Dynamic Apparel Markets and adidas and Nike Company Shares

 

 

 

 

 

-2011growth2016 sharecompany

140

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

10

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

120

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

8

 

100

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

6

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

80

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

60

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

4

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

40

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

CAGR and%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2

20

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

0

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

0

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

China

 

 

Russia

 

Brazil

India

 

US

Canada South Africa Hong Kong, Ukraine

 

UK

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

China

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Absolute Value Growth 2011/2016 - US$ bn

% CAGR 2011-2016

Nike Inc % Company Share adidas AG % Company Share

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

© Euromonitor International

APPAREL: ADIDAS AG

PASSPORT 25

GEOGRAPHIC AND CATEGORY OPPORTUNITIES

adidas needs to pick up the ball in China

Although adidas has seen solid sales growth in China over the review period, generating a CAGR in fixed terms of 14.9% between 2006 and 2011, it has underperformed other leading sports brands in the market.

Nike, the market leader in China, generated a CAGR of 17.2% over the same period, and domestic producers including Anta (CAGR of 46.2%) Li Ning (21.4%) and Xtep (65.2%) have all made significant gains.

adidas‟ share has slipped from 2008‟s high, and local manufacturers are increasingly offering a credible alternative to the country‟s brandobsessed consumer base. Li Ning boosted its advertising spend as a proportion of revenue to 16% in 2011, one third more than Nike, and tied up marketing deals with the NBA, retired player Shaquille O'Neal and the Spanish national basketball team.

China is clearly integral to adidas‟ long-term growth - in 2011, the market generated 6% of total sales compared to 4% in 2006 - and it needs to take a stronger hold of the market.

Apparel Market Share Development in

China of Sports Brand Producers

2006-2011

 

1.4

 

1.2

 

1.0

% share

0.8

 

 

0.6

 

0.4

0.2

0.0

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

Nike Inc

 

 

 

adidas AG

 

 

Anta (China) Co Ltd

 

 

Li Ning Co Ltd

 

 

 

 

Xtep International Holdings Ltd

 

Peak Sport Products Co Ltd

 

China Dongxiang Group Co Ltd

 

 

 

 

© Euromonitor International

APPAREL: ADIDAS AG

PASSPORT 26

GEOGRAPHIC AND CATEGORY OPPORTUNITIES

Chinese investment to recapture share

The company believes that despite the growth in share of domestic manufacturers, international brand producers are the key drivers of growth in the Chinese sportswear market. Having lost pace in the market over the review period, adidas aims to recover share by investing heavily in marketing, for example, by boosting its presence in basketball, a sport that it has traditionally paid less attention to.

adidas has also sought to develop a stronger relationship with recreational athletes in China, an increasingly important area of the consumer base. It sponsors the Beijing Marathon, and is seeking to develop more running sponsorships in smaller cities. The company has also sought to increase visibility via fitness chains, giving clothing to fitness instructors and buying advertising space in locker rooms and over treadmills. The emphasis is very much on urban consumers, with smaller cities whose middle-class consumer bases are less developed a particular priority.

However, its key China development strategy appears to be to increase its retail presence, and it aims to open 2,500 outlets by 2015, most of which will be located in thirdand fourth-tier cities.

Above - adidas billboard in Shanghai. The company seeks to increase its basketball presence to capture share in China.

According to the company, Greater China generated 12% of Wholesale revenue in 2011 and 6% of Retail; adidas is seeking to flatten the difference. Brand control in a market plagued by counterfeit production is a key reason for this.

In 2011, the company opened a number of stores for its Rockport brand, and already operates a number of mono-brand adidas outlets. Most store expansion will be of the adidas NEO format. The company also operates a limited amount of e-sales in the market, via China's biggest web retailer, Taobao.com. Once again, sales are limited, but hold high potential.

© Euromonitor International

APPAREL: ADIDAS AG

PASSPORT 27

GEOGRAPHIC AND CATEGORY OPPORTUNITIES

Indian dominance may be in the balance

adidas is the leading apparel company in India with a 1.2% share of value sales based on its Reebok and adidas brands. The Indian apparel market is anticipated to see a CAGR of 5.9% over 2011-2016, and will show the fourth largest growth of all global markets in absolute terms. Growth over the review period has been exponential, with the company generally hitting high double figures.

Reebok is the stronger of the two brands with a share of 0.7%, based on its dominance of the cricket market; it supplies uniforms to the Indian Premier League, one of the most dynamic sports franchises in the world, as well as equipment, apparel and footwear. Cricket is a national obsession, and marketing opportunities are enormous.

Most importantly, the company had the market largely to itself in 2011, as Nike has yet to develop a visible presence, despite manufacturing in the country (and also supplying the uniform for India‟s 2011 Cricket World Cupwinning team).

However, adidas may be on the point of jeopardising its success in India. At a time when the Indian government has indicated it may greatly liberalise foreign direct investment in the retail market, adidas announced plans in May 2012 to close a third of its 1,000 Reebok stores in India

 

 

Top Five Apparel Producers in India,

 

 

 

 

 

Value Growth in Fixed US$

fixed

 

Exchange Rate Terms 2006-2011

 

60

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

US$

rate

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

40

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

growth,y-

exchange

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

0

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

y-o

 

20

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

%

 

-20

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

adidas AG

 

 

 

Aditya Birla Group

 

 

 

Future Group

 

 

 

Bata Ltd

 

 

 

 

 

Raymond Ltd

 

 

 

 

 

The company needs to overcome internal problems in India; in May 2012, the company asked the Indian authorities to launch a criminal probe into unspecified “commercial irregularities” at Reebok India. Nonetheless, a booming middle class and the second largest consumer base in the world offer great potential, and the company may instead build retail sales via more NEO stores. This could help develop clothing sales, which generated just 20% of revenue in 2011.

© Euromonitor International

APPAREL: ADIDAS AG

PASSPORT 28

GEOGRAPHIC AND CATEGORY OPPORTUNITIES

Russian strength underpins regional dynamism

Russia and Ukraine have consistently generated the company‟s strongest sales over the review period, with CAGRs of 31% and 38%, respectively, over 2006-2011. Both are anticipated to see a CAGR of around 7% over the forecast period, and as such are core markets for adidas to focus on.

Part of the company‟s success has been its ability to develop a strong retail division in Eastern Europe. In what it reports as European Emerging Markets, Wholesale sales of the Reebok and adidas brands generated 5% of global values, and Retail 38%.

Again, rising wage levels and relatively low unemployment have underpinned demand for sporting goods, and the newness of these markets means that company has been able to control its offer more effectively.

Russia in particular is a core market for the company, and was its third largest national one after the US and China in 2011. It is also where new retail strategies have been rolled out first – in 2011, the company opened 29 NEO stores there after trialling the format in Hamburg.

adidas AG: Apparel Presence and Growth Prospects in Eastern Europe 2011-2016

10

 

8

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Opportunity

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Ukraine

 

 

 

 

Zone

 

 

 

 

 

 

Russia

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

-2016

6

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

4

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2011

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Hungary

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

CAGR

2

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Romania

 

 

 

Poland

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

0

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

-2

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Czech Republic

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

-4

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

-20,000

0

20,000

40,000

60,000

80,000

100,000

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Market size 2011 (US$ mn RSP)

 

 

 

 

 

 

Note: Bubble size indicates company share of country in 2011, range displayed: 0.6-2.1%

The company has significant promotional opportunities going forward in these markets - Ukraine is set to cohost the 2012 European Football Championships, and Russia the 2018 Football World Cup, and adidas supplies kit to both. adidas is the leading apparel company in Russia, and as a result the leader in Eastern Europe overall. It is exceptionally well positioned to develop its market share going forward.

© Euromonitor International

APPAREL: ADIDAS AG

PASSPORT 29

GEOGRAPHIC AND CATEGORY OPPORTUNITIES

adidas bucks apparel trends in North America

adidas significantly outperformed the North American apparel market over the review period, with the exception of 2008-2009 when weakened consumer confidence saw brands at higher price positions suffer. More importantly, it began to outperform domestic giant Nike by the end of the review period.

The company has been able to do so by focusing on the most dynamic parts of its market there, including running and training, and increasingly basketball. Historically, the adidas and Reebok brands have lagged behind Nike in the NBA; however, adidas has increased its spending on basketball sponsorship, providing uniforms for the teams, as well as tying up stars such as Derrick Rose to sponsorship deals.

Distribution strategy has also been crucial to brand growth for the company‟s portfolio; as in other geographies, it seeks to control its portfolio via a tightened grip on retail. Where possible, it has sought to expand retail operations into high-quality malls and sporting goods stores; e-commerce is also a key part of its regional sales. As such, North America has been designated one of its key attack markets for the future, despite a CAGR of only 0.7% forecast for the region between 2011 and 2016.

% y-o-y growth, US$ fixed exchange rate

adidas AG: Competitive Performance by Value vs North American Apparel Market 2006-2011

20

15

10

5

0

-5

-10

2006-2007

2007-2008

2008-2009

2009-2010

2010-2011

 

 

North America

 

adidas AG

 

Nike Inc

 

 

 

 

 

 

© Euromonitor International

APPAREL: ADIDAS AG

PASSPORT 30