Розрахунок величини середньодобового попиту та середньоквадратичної величини його відхилення
Порядковий номер дня |
Величина попиту, од. |
Середня величина попиту (прогноз) |
х1-х2 |
(х1-х2)2 |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
1 |
0 |
2,81111 |
2,81111 |
7,902339 |
2 |
2 |
2,81111 |
0,81111 |
0,657899 |
3 |
0 |
2,81111 |
2,81111 |
7,902339 |
4 |
0 |
2,81111 |
2,81111 |
7,902339 |
5 |
13 |
2,81111 |
-10,1889 |
103,8135 |
6 |
0 |
2,81111 |
2,81111 |
7,902339 |
7 |
0 |
2,81111 |
2,81111 |
7,902339 |
8 |
4 |
2,81111 |
-1,18889 |
1,413459 |
9 |
3 |
2,81111 |
-0,18889 |
0,035679 |
10 |
1 |
2,81111 |
1,81111 |
3,280119 |
11 |
0 |
2,81111 |
2,81111 |
7,902339 |
12 |
0 |
2,81111 |
2,81111 |
7,902339 |
13 |
0 |
2,81111 |
2,81111 |
7,902339 |
14 |
0 |
2,81111 |
2,81111 |
7,902339 |
15 |
8 |
2,81111 |
-5,18889 |
26,92458 |
16 |
0 |
2,81111 |
2,81111 |
7,902339 |
17 |
0 |
2,81111 |
2,81111 |
7,902339 |
18 |
7 |
2,81111 |
-4,18889 |
17,5468 |
19 |
21 |
2,81111 |
-18,1889 |
330,8357 |
20 |
0 |
2,81111 |
2,81111 |
7,902339 |
21 |
0 |
2,81111 |
2,81111 |
7,902339 |
22 |
0 |
2,81111 |
2,81111 |
7,902339 |
23 |
0 |
2,81111 |
2,81111 |
7,902339 |
24 |
0 |
2,81111 |
2,81111 |
7,902339 |
25 |
0 |
2,81111 |
2,81111 |
7,902339 |
26 |
0 |
2,81111 |
2,81111 |
7,902339 |
27 |
0 |
2,81111 |
2,81111 |
7,902339 |
28 |
0 |
2,81111 |
2,81111 |
7,902339 |
29 |
0 |
2,81111 |
2,81111 |
7,902339 |
30 |
6 |
2,81111 |
-3,18889 |
10,16902 |
Продовження табл. 1
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
31 |
0 |
2,81111 |
2,81111 |
7,902339 |
32 |
6 |
2,81111 |
-3,18889 |
10,16902 |
33 |
4 |
2,81111 |
-1,18889 |
1,413459 |
34 |
0 |
2,81111 |
2,81111 |
7,902339 |
35 |
0 |
2,81111 |
2,81111 |
7,902339 |
36 |
6 |
2,81111 |
-3,18889 |
10,16902 |
37 |
0 |
2,81111 |
2,81111 |
7,902339 |
38 |
4 |
2,81111 |
-1,18889 |
1,413459 |
39 |
0 |
2,81111 |
2,81111 |
7,902339 |
40 |
5 |
2,81111 |
-2,18889 |
4,791239 |
41 |
0 |
2,81111 |
2,81111 |
7,902339 |
42 |
0 |
2,81111 |
2,81111 |
7,902339 |
43 |
0 |
2,81111 |
2,81111 |
7,902339 |
44 |
0 |
2,81111 |
2,81111 |
7,902339 |
45 |
0 |
2,81111 |
2,81111 |
7,902339 |
46 |
0 |
2,81111 |
2,81111 |
7,902339 |
47 |
29 |
2,81111 |
-26,1889 |
685,858 |
48 |
0 |
2,81111 |
2,81111 |
7,902339 |
49 |
0 |
2,81111 |
2,81111 |
7,902339 |
50 |
0 |
2,81111 |
2,81111 |
7,902339 |
51 |
0 |
2,81111 |
2,81111 |
7,902339 |
52 |
0 |
2,81111 |
2,81111 |
7,902339 |
53 |
0 |
2,81111 |
2,81111 |
7,902339 |
54 |
0 |
2,81111 |
2,81111 |
7,902339 |
55 |
0 |
2,81111 |
2,81111 |
7,902339 |
56 |
0 |
2,81111 |
2,81111 |
7,902339 |
57 |
0 |
2,81111 |
2,81111 |
7,902339 |
58 |
6 |
2,81111 |
-3,18889 |
10,16902 |
59 |
7 |
2,81111 |
-4,18889 |
17,5468 |
60 |
2 |
2,81111 |
0,81111 |
0,657899 |
61 |
10 |
2,81111 |
-7,18889 |
51,68014 |
62 |
0 |
2,81111 |
2,81111 |
7,902339 |
63 |
0 |
2,81111 |
2,81111 |
7,902339 |
64 |
9 |
2,81111 |
-6,18889 |
38,30236 |
65 |
6 |
2,81111 |
-3,18889 |
10,16902 |
66 |
0 |
2,81111 |
2,81111 |
7,902339 |
67 |
6 |
2,81111 |
-3,18889 |
10,16902 |
68 |
0 |
2,81111 |
2,81111 |
7,902339 |
69 |
0 |
2,81111 |
2,81111 |
7,902339 |
Продовження табл. 1
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
70 |
0 |
2,81111 |
2,81111 |
7,902339 |
71 |
5 |
2,81111 |
-2,18889 |
4,791239 |
72 |
3 |
2,81111 |
-0,18889 |
0,035679 |
73 |
2 |
2,81111 |
0,81111 |
0,657899 |
74 |
0 |
2,81111 |
2,81111 |
7,902339 |
75 |
5 |
2,81111 |
-2,18889 |
4,791239 |
76 |
0 |
2,81111 |
2,81111 |
7,902339 |
77 |
0 |
2,81111 |
2,81111 |
7,902339 |
78 |
2 |
2,81111 |
0,81111 |
0,657899 |
79 |
10 |
2,81111 |
-7,18889 |
51,68014 |
80 |
8 |
2,81111 |
-5,18889 |
26,92458 |
81 |
6 |
2,81111 |
-3,18889 |
10,16902 |
82 |
0 |
2,81111 |
2,81111 |
7,902339 |
83 |
0 |
2,81111 |
2,81111 |
7,902339 |
84 |
0 |
2,81111 |
2,81111 |
7,902339 |
85 |
0 |
2,81111 |
2,81111 |
7,902339 |
86 |
0 |
2,81111 |
2,81111 |
7,902339 |
87 |
0 |
2,81111 |
2,81111 |
7,902339 |
88 |
8 |
2,81111 |
-5,18889 |
26,92458 |
89 |
9 |
2,81111 |
-6,18889 |
38,30236 |
90 |
0 |
2,81111 |
2,81111 |
7,902339 |
91 |
0 |
2,81111 |
2,81111 |
7,902339 |
92 |
5 |
2,81111 |
-2,18889 |
4,791239 |
93 |
15 |
2,81111 |
-12,1889 |
148,569 |
94 |
2 |
2,81111 |
0,81111 |
0,657899 |
95 |
5 |
2,81111 |
-2,18889 |
4,791239 |
96 |
3 |
2,81111 |
-0,18889 |
0,035679 |
97 |
0 |
2,81111 |
2,81111 |
7,902339 |
98 |
0 |
2,81111 |
2,81111 |
7,902339 |
99 |
11 |
2,81111 |
-8,18889 |
67,05792 |
100 |
0 |
2,81111 |
2,81111 |
7,902339 |
101 |
0 |
2,81111 |
2,81111 |
7,902339 |
102 |
0 |
2,81111 |
2,81111 |
7,902339 |
103 |
7 |
2,81111 |
-4,18889 |
17,5468 |
104 |
0 |
2,81111 |
2,81111 |
7,902339 |
105 |
0 |
2,81111 |
2,81111 |
7,902339 |
106 |
0 |
2,81111 |
2,81111 |
7,902339 |
107 |
8 |
2,81111 |
-5,18889 |
26,92458 |
108 |
7 |
2,81111 |
-4,18889 |
17,5468 |
Продовження табл. 1
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
109 |
0 |
2,81111 |
2,81111 |
7,902339 |
110 |
10 |
2,81111 |
-7,18889 |
51,68014 |
111 |
0 |
2,81111 |
2,81111 |
7,902339 |
112 |
0 |
2,81111 |
2,81111 |
7,902339 |
113 |
1 |
2,81111 |
1,81111 |
3,280119 |
114 |
5 |
2,81111 |
-2,18889 |
4,791239 |
115 |
0 |
2,81111 |
2,81111 |
7,902339 |
116 |
2 |
2,81111 |
0,81111 |
0,657899 |
117 |
9 |
2,81111 |
-6,18889 |
38,30236 |
118 |
0 |
2,81111 |
2,81111 |
7,902339 |
119 |
0 |
2,81111 |
2,81111 |
7,902339 |
120 |
6 |
2,81111 |
-3,18889 |
10,16902 |
121 |
0 |
2,81111 |
2,81111 |
7,902339 |
122 |
0 |
2,81111 |
2,81111 |
7,902339 |
123 |
0 |
2,81111 |
2,81111 |
7,902339 |
123 |
0 |
2,81111 |
2,81111 |
7,902339 |
124 |
0 |
2,81111 |
2,81111 |
7,902339 |
125 |
0 |
2,81111 |
2,81111 |
7,902339 |
126 |
0 |
2,81111 |
2,81111 |
7,902339 |
127 |
0 |
2,81111 |
2,81111 |
7,902339 |
128 |
4 |
2,81111 |
-1,18889 |
1,413459 |
129 |
3 |
2,81111 |
-0,18889 |
0,035679 |
130 |
7 |
2,81111 |
-4,18889 |
17,5468 |
131 |
13 |
2,81111 |
-10,1889 |
103,8135 |
132 |
0 |
2,81111 |
2,81111 |
7,902339 |
133 |
0 |
2,81111 |
2,81111 |
7,902339 |
134 |
5 |
2,81111 |
-2,18889 |
4,791239 |
135 |
9 |
2,81111 |
-6,18889 |
38,30236 |
136 |
0 |
2,81111 |
2,81111 |
7,902339 |
137 |
0 |
2,81111 |
2,81111 |
7,902339 |
138 |
12 |
2,81111 |
-9,18889 |
84,4357 |
139 |
0 |
2,81111 |
2,81111 |
7,902339 |
140 |
0 |
2,81111 |
2,81111 |
7,902339 |
141 |
2 |
2,81111 |
0,81111 |
0,657899 |
142 |
6 |
2,81111 |
-3,18889 |
10,16902 |
143 |
3 |
2,81111 |
-0,18889 |
0,035679 |
144 |
4 |
2,81111 |
-1,18889 |
1,413459 |
145 |
6 |
2,81111 |
-3,18889 |
10,16902 |
146 |
0 |
2,81111 |
2,81111 |
7,902339 |
Закінчення табл. 1
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
147 |
0 |
2,81111 |
2,81111 |
7,902339 |
148 |
2 |
2,81111 |
0,81111 |
0,657899 |
149 |
5 |
2,81111 |
-2,18889 |
4,791239 |
150 |
0 |
2,81111 |
2,81111 |
7,902339 |
151 |
0 |
2,81111 |
2,81111 |
7,902339 |
152 |
7 |
2,81111 |
-4,18889 |
17,5468 |
153 |
0 |
2,81111 |
2,81111 |
7,902339 |
154 |
0 |
2,81111 |
2,81111 |
7,902339 |
155 |
0 |
2,81111 |
2,81111 |
7,902339 |
156 |
2 |
2,81111 |
0,81111 |
0,657899 |
157 |
0 |
2,81111 |
2,81111 |
7,902339 |
158 |
8 |
2,81111 |
-5,18889 |
26,92458 |
159 |
6 |
2,81111 |
-3,18889 |
10,16902 |
160 |
0 |
2,81111 |
2,81111 |
7,902339 |
161 |
0 |
2,81111 |
2,81111 |
7,902339 |
162 |
6 |
2,81111 |
-3,18889 |
10,16902 |
163 |
6 |
2,81111 |
-3,18889 |
10,16902 |
164 |
3 |
2,81111 |
-0,18889 |
0,035679 |
165 |
0 |
2,81111 |
2,81111 |
7,902339 |
166 |
0 |
2,81111 |
2,81111 |
7,902339 |
167 |
0 |
2,81111 |
2,81111 |
7,902339 |
168 |
0 |
2,81111 |
2,81111 |
7,902339 |
169 |
15 |
2,81111 |
-12,1889 |
148,569 |
170 |
2 |
2,81111 |
0,81111 |
0,657899 |
171 |
3 |
2,81111 |
-0,18889 |
0,035679 |
172 |
9 |
2,81111 |
-6,18889 |
38,30236 |
173 |
3 |
2,81111 |
-0,18889 |
0,035679 |
174 |
0 |
2,81111 |
2,81111 |
7,902339 |
175 |
0 |
2,81111 |
2,81111 |
7,902339 |
176 |
5 |
2,81111 |
-2,18889 |
4,791239 |
177 |
10 |
2,81111 |
-7,18889 |
51,68014 |
178 |
9 |
2,81111 |
-6,18889 |
38,30236 |
179 |
0 |
2,81111 |
2,81111 |
7,902339 |
180 |
12 |
2,81111 |
-9,18889 |
84,4357 |
Сума |
506 |
|
|
3451,48 |
Середньодобовий попит |
2,8111111 |
|
|
19,28201 |
Середньоквадратичне відхилення |
|
|
|
4,391129 |
Таблиця 2